Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and elite ball-striking metrics, though his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for the birth of his second child skipped final tune-up reps. The field remains tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surging on back-to-back LIV wins—including a playoff victory over Jon Rahm (7.4%) last week—and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyeing a potential repeat after strong Augusta history. A deep contender pool, highlighted by 11 players posting 1.7+ strokes gained tee-to-green over the last three months, underscores Augusta's volatility, rewarding precision irons, par-5 scoring, and scrambling amid favorable course history for many mid-tier threats like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,291,892 Vol.
$61,291,892 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,291,892 Vol.
$61,291,892 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and elite ball-striking metrics, though his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for the birth of his second child skipped final tune-up reps. The field remains tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surging on back-to-back LIV wins—including a playoff victory over Jon Rahm (7.4%) last week—and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyeing a potential repeat after strong Augusta history. A deep contender pool, highlighted by 11 players posting 1.7+ strokes gained tee-to-green over the last three months, underscores Augusta's volatility, rewarding precision irons, par-5 scoring, and scrambling amid favorable course history for many mid-tier threats like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions