Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a perfect 8-0-0 league phase record and a convincing round-of-16 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen, boosting sentiment with their attacking depth and defensive solidity. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, showcasing Harry Kane's form and midfield control. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced past Newcastle and Chelsea respectively with strong aggregate wins, while Real Madrid (10.5%) edged Manchester City. The bunched odds reflect grueling quarterfinal ties—Arsenal at Sporting CP, Bayern hosting Real Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid—keeping pathways to the May 30 final in Budapest highly competitive amid no dominant runaway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,092,461 Vol.
$221,092,461 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,092,461 Vol.
$221,092,461 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a perfect 8-0-0 league phase record and a convincing round-of-16 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen, boosting sentiment with their attacking depth and defensive solidity. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, showcasing Harry Kane's form and midfield control. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced past Newcastle and Chelsea respectively with strong aggregate wins, while Real Madrid (10.5%) edged Manchester City. The bunched odds reflect grueling quarterfinal ties—Arsenal at Sporting CP, Bayern hosting Real Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid—keeping pathways to the May 30 final in Budapest highly competitive amid no dominant runaway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions