Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Khamzat Chimaev 71%

Sean Strickland 15.4%

Dricus Du Plessis 5.1%

Caio Borralho 2.1%

Polymarket

$346,792 Vol.

Khamzat Chimaev 71%

Sean Strickland 15.4%

Dricus Du Plessis 5.1%

Caio Borralho 2.1%

Polymarket

$346,792 Vol.

Khamzat Chimaev

$32,975 Vol.

71%

Sean Strickland

$4,600 Vol.

15%

Dricus Du Plessis

$22,758 Vol.

5%

Caio Borralho

$43,865 Vol.

2%

Nassourdine Imavov

$2,658 Vol.

9%

Brendan Allen

$24,542 Vol.

1%

Robert Whittaker

$62,296 Vol.

1%

Israel Adesanya

$42,821 Vol.

1%

Jared Cannonier

$62,191 Vol.

<1%

Reinier de Ridder

$44,105 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Hernandez

$3,980 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Khamzat Chimaev's dominant unanimous decision victory over Dricus du Plessis to claim the UFC middleweight title at UFC 319 in August 2025 has solidified his position as the overwhelming trader favorite at 71%, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite wrestling chain, and pound-for-pound ranking. Recent announcement of his first title defense against Sean Strickland—fresh off a February 2026 TKO of Anthony Hernandez—at UFC 328 on May 9 underscores the market's confidence in Chimaev retaining through year-end amid a thin contender field. Strickland's volume striking and prior championship reign earn him 15.4% implied probability as the primary threat, while Nassourdine Imavov's #2 ranking supports 8.6% despite bypassed title shot, and former champ Du Plessis lags at 5.3% post-loss. Rising prospects like Caio Borralho trail due to unproven title paths.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$346,792
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Khamzat Chimaev's dominant unanimous decision victory over Dricus du Plessis to claim the UFC middleweight title at UFC 319 in August 2025 has solidified his position as the overwhelming trader favorite at 71%, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite wrestling chain, and pound-for-pound ranking. Recent announcement of his first title defense against Sean Strickland—fresh off a February 2026 TKO of Anthony Hernandez—at UFC 328 on May 9 underscores the market's confidence in Chimaev retaining through year-end amid a thin contender field. Strickland's volume striking and prior championship reign earn him 15.4% implied probability as the primary threat, while Nassourdine Imavov's #2 ranking supports 8.6% despite bypassed title shot, and former champ Du Plessis lags at 5.3% post-loss. Rising prospects like Caio Borralho trail due to unproven title paths.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$346,792
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Khamzat Chimaev" at 71%, followed by "Sean Strickland" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $346.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Khamzat Chimaev" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.