Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability after an undefeated league phase (24 points) and a composed 3-1 aggregate win over Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16, now facing Sporting CP in the quarter-finals—a matchup viewed as relatively favorable amid their clinical form. Bayern Munich (22.5%) trails closely following a dominant 10-2 aggregate rout of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid (10.5%, who ousted Manchester City 5-1 aggregate) heightens uncertainty. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%, defending champions after crushing Chelsea 8-2 aggregate) also advanced convincingly, with Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico Madrid (3.4%) progressing, creating tightly contested quarter-final dynamics that keep the race wide open ahead of April legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,091,962 Vol.
$221,091,962 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,091,962 Vol.
$221,091,962 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability after an undefeated league phase (24 points) and a composed 3-1 aggregate win over Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16, now facing Sporting CP in the quarter-finals—a matchup viewed as relatively favorable amid their clinical form. Bayern Munich (22.5%) trails closely following a dominant 10-2 aggregate rout of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid (10.5%, who ousted Manchester City 5-1 aggregate) heightens uncertainty. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%, defending champions after crushing Chelsea 8-2 aggregate) also advanced convincingly, with Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico Madrid (3.4%) progressing, creating tightly contested quarter-final dynamics that keep the race wide open ahead of April legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions