Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance—gaining 1.7+ strokes tee-to-green over recent months—and unmatched course history with the lowest 10-year scoring average among active players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely, buoyed by strong LIV form including DeChambeau's recent back-to-back wins and Rahm's elite SG:tee-to-green alongside past green jacket success. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) defends his 2025 title amid solid top-10 streak at Augusta, while Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) and Xander Schauffele (4.8%) offer upside via precision irons and consistency. The wide-open field stems from Gary Woodland's surprise Houston Open victory and minor injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue, emphasizing scrambling, par-5 scoring, and pressure on lightning-fast greens as key differentiators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,088,924 Vol.
$61,088,924 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,088,924 Vol.
$61,088,924 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters at Augusta National, reflecting his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance—gaining 1.7+ strokes tee-to-green over recent months—and unmatched course history with the lowest 10-year scoring average among active players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely, buoyed by strong LIV form including DeChambeau's recent back-to-back wins and Rahm's elite SG:tee-to-green alongside past green jacket success. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) defends his 2025 title amid solid top-10 streak at Augusta, while Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) and Xander Schauffele (4.8%) offer upside via precision irons and consistency. The wide-open field stems from Gary Woodland's surprise Houston Open victory and minor injuries like Collin Morikawa's back issue, emphasizing scrambling, par-5 scoring, and pressure on lightning-fast greens as key differentiators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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