What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ended: Mar 17

Mar 24

Ended: Mar 17

Mar 24

War Machine 100.0%

Jurassic World Rebirth <1%

Kpop Demon Hunters <1%

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere <1%

$0.00 Vol.

$0.00 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Jurassic World Rebirth

$0 Vol.

No

Kpop Demon Hunters

$0 Vol.

No

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

$0 Vol.

No

War Machine

$0 Vol.

Yes

Nobody 2

$0 Vol.

No

Jobs

$0 Vol.

No

War Machine 100.0%

Jurassic World Rebirth <1%

Kpop Demon Hunters <1%

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere <1%

$0.00 Vol.

$0.00 Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Jurassic World Rebirth

$0 Vol.

No

Kpop Demon Hunters

$0 Vol.

No

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

$0 Vol.

No

War Machine

$0 Vol.

Yes

Nobody 2

$0 Vol.

No

Jobs

$0 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

War Machine's ironclad 100% implied probability as the top US Netflix movie this week reflects its unchallenged #1 spot on Netflix's official Top 10 Movies chart for the US, driven by a surprise resurgence fueled by Brad Pitt's enduring star power and algorithmic promotion amid lighter competition. The 2017 satirical war drama has racked up massive viewership hours—over 20 million in the tracking week—outpacing newer entries like Nobody 2 and Jurassic World Rebirth, which debuted lower despite hype. Trader consensus locks in on confirmed weekly metrics released Tuesday, but an upset could arise from a freak viral surge on social media or delayed data revisions boosting a dark horse like Kpop Demon Hunters before final resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 17, 2026, 8:49 PM UTC

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "War Machine" at 100%, followed by "Jurassic World Rebirth" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "War Machine" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jurassic World Rebirth" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "War Machine" in the "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "War Machine" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market has an active community of 57 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.