How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$89,454 Vol.
3 32%
2 22%
4 11.2%
1 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$6,464 Vol.
3%
0
$6,464 Vol.
3%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
2
$10,028 Vol.
22%
2
$10,028 Vol.
22%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
5
$9,946 Vol.
6%
5
$9,946 Vol.
6%
6
$5,789 Vol.
4%
6
$5,789 Vol.
4%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
12
$5,422 Vol.
1%
12
$5,422 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PM
Volume
$89,454End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$89,454 Vol.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
3 32%
2 22%
4 11.2%
1 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$6,464 Vol.
3%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
2
$10,028 Vol.
22%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
5
$9,946 Vol.
6%
6
$5,789 Vol.
4%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
12
$5,422 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$89,454End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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