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Sports·Chess

2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner

Market icon
Sports·Chess

2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner

Magnus Carlsen 100.0%

Levon Aronian <1%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave <1%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov <1%

Polymarket

$465,363 Vol.

Magnus Carlsen 100.0%

Levon Aronian <1%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave <1%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov <1%

Polymarket

$465,363 Vol.

Magnus Carlsen

$70,632 Vol.

Yes

Levon Aronian

$12,110 Vol.

No

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$6,464 Vol.

No

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$9,569 Vol.

No

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$7,286 Vol.

No

Leinier Dominguez Perez

$9,034 Vol.

No

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov

$2,409 Vol.

No

Gukesh D

$9,894 Vol.

No

Javokhir Sindarov

$7,086 Vol.

No

Anish Giri

$3,816 Vol.

No

Alexander Grischuk

$3,976 Vol.

No

Dmitry Andreikin

$3,950 Vol.

No

Parham Maghsoodloo

$101,976 Vol.

No

Radoslaw Wojtaszek

$9,068 Vol.

No

Vincent Keymer

$10,690 Vol.

No

Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara

$5,608 Vol.

No

Volodar Murzin

$5,715 Vol.

No

Nils Grandelius

$5,325 Vol.

No

Jorden Van Foreest

$2,546 Vol.

No

Vasyl Ivanchuk

$5,254 Vol.

No

Eltaj Safarli

$2,652 Vol.

No

Shant Sargsyan

$6,731 Vol.

No

A.R. Saleh Salem

$1,518 Vol.

No

Rasmus Svane

$4,937 Vol.

No

Kirill Alekseenko

$3,300 Vol.

No

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$8,944 Vol.

No

Fabiano Caruana

$5,164 Vol.

No

Vladislav Artemiev

$29,410 Vol.

No

Richard Rapport

$6,092 Vol.

No

Arjun Erigaisi

$10,402 Vol.

No

Wesley So

$3,916 Vol.

No

Yangyi Yu

$3,388 Vol.

No

Daniil Dubov

$10,110 Vol.

No

Nihal Sarin

$4,178 Vol.

No

Praggnanandhaa R

$4,510 Vol.

No

Jaime Santos Latasa

$3,861 Vol.

No

Teimour Radjabov

$5,345 Vol.

No

Samuel Sevian

$2,946 Vol.

No

Ray Robson

$3,367 Vol.

No

Le Quang Liem

$3,414 Vol.

No

Baadur Jobava

$3,606 Vol.

No

Olexandr Bortnyk

$1,421 Vol.

No

Ruslan Ponomariov

$3,302 Vol.

No

Alexey Sarana

$3,699 Vol.

No

Andrey Esipenko

$4,710 Vol.

No

Raunak Sadhwani

$6,407 Vol.

No

Pentala Harikrishna

$6,650 Vol.

No

Hans Moke Niemann

$11,306 Vol.

No

David Anton Guijarro

$4,214 Vol.

No

Rauf Mamedov

$3,454 Vol.

No

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$465,363
End Date
Dec 28, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar. This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship. If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 100%, followed by "Levon Aronian" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner" has generated $465.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner" is "Magnus Carlsen" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Levon Aronian" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.