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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,632,741 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,632,741
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Created At
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,632,741 Vol.

Market icon

Spain

$1,531,051 Vol.

16%

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England

$1,211,618 Vol.

14%

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France

$1,486,905 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$1,411,837 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$1,057,336 Vol.

10%

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Portugal

$3,877,714 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$2,384,438 Vol.

6%

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Netherlands

$2,596,955 Vol.

3%

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Norway

$2,727,194 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$2,196,020 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$2,263,031 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$1,817,622 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$2,437,565 Vol.

2%

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USA

$1,909,362 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$2,058,071 Vol.

1%

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Mexico

$3,289,669 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$2,691,427 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$2,714,288 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,988,757 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$2,329,570 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$2,591,119 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$3,038,333 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$2,359,276 Vol.

1%

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Ivory Coast

$1,835,999 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$3,895,038 Vol.

1%

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Scotland

$3,695,331 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$2,179,015 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$2,726,598 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$2,006,341 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$1,441,957 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$2,040,762 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$2,118,280 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$7,358,442 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$2,505,673 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$2,004,482 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$4,567,215 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$7,179,527 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$3,645,434 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$7,283,380 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$6,172,711 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$4,956,431 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$2,786,376 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.