Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 43% implied probability for the 2026 Miami Open title, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, dominant hardcourt serve-and-power game, and recent Australian Open victory confirming peak form without major injuries. Elena Rybakina's 25.5% share reflects her elite serving efficiency and Indian Wells title, bolstering her status as a top hardcourt threat despite occasional fitness concerns. Rising teenager Victoria Mboko at 12% gains traction from breakthrough 2024 wins over top players like Gauff, signaling long-term upside for the Miami hard courts. Coco Gauff (9%) and Jessica Pegula (7.8%) benefit from American home-crowd edge and consistent Masters results, while Karolina Muchova, Belinda Bencic, and Hailey Baptiste round out value amid injury recoveries and youth momentum, per latest WTA reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
Aryna Sabalenka 43%
Elena Rybakina 26%
Victoria Mboko 12%
Coco Gauff 9%
$43,049 Vol.
$43,049 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
43%
Elena Rybakina
26%
Victoria Mboko
12%
Coco Gauff
9%
Jessica Pegula
8%
Karolina Muchova
7%
Belinda Bencic
7%
Hailey Baptiste
6%
Aryna Sabalenka 43%
Elena Rybakina 26%
Victoria Mboko 12%
Coco Gauff 9%
$43,049 Vol.
$43,049 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
43%
Elena Rybakina
26%
Victoria Mboko
12%
Coco Gauff
9%
Jessica Pegula
8%
Karolina Muchova
7%
Belinda Bencic
7%
Hailey Baptiste
6%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 43% implied probability for the 2026 Miami Open title, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, dominant hardcourt serve-and-power game, and recent Australian Open victory confirming peak form without major injuries. Elena Rybakina's 25.5% share reflects her elite serving efficiency and Indian Wells title, bolstering her status as a top hardcourt threat despite occasional fitness concerns. Rising teenager Victoria Mboko at 12% gains traction from breakthrough 2024 wins over top players like Gauff, signaling long-term upside for the Miami hard courts. Coco Gauff (9%) and Jessica Pegula (7.8%) benefit from American home-crowd edge and consistent Masters results, while Karolina Muchova, Belinda Bencic, and Hailey Baptiste round out value amid injury recoveries and youth momentum, per latest WTA reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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