Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability reflects his two prior green jackets, elite Augusta National course history, and world No. 1 ball-striking, despite rust from withdrawing from the Houston Open for his second child's birth. The race stays tight in this star-studded 90th Masters field due to Bryson DeChambeau's hot LIV Golf form with back-to-back playoff wins in Singapore and South Africa, Jon Rahm's league-leading adjusted strokes-gained average, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's recovery from earlier back spasms. No player dominates recent PGA Tour events like the ongoing Valero Texas Open, while Augusta's firm greens and par-5 scoring opportunities amplify upset potential for major contenders like Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 14%
Bryson Dechambeau 9%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$64,536,807 Vol.
$64,536,807 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Bryson Dechambeau
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 14%
Bryson Dechambeau 9%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$64,536,807 Vol.
$64,536,807 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
14%
Bryson Dechambeau
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 13.5% implied probability reflects his two prior green jackets, elite Augusta National course history, and world No. 1 ball-striking, despite rust from withdrawing from the Houston Open for his second child's birth. The race stays tight in this star-studded 90th Masters field due to Bryson DeChambeau's hot LIV Golf form with back-to-back playoff wins in Singapore and South Africa, Jon Rahm's league-leading adjusted strokes-gained average, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's recovery from earlier back spasms. No player dominates recent PGA Tour events like the ongoing Valero Texas Open, while Augusta's firm greens and par-5 scoring opportunities amplify upset potential for major contenders like Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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