Market icon

Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?

Market icon

Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?

$33,933 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$33,933 Vol.

Polymarket

$540

$1,007 Vol.

68%

$560

$4,264 Vol.

39%

$580

$2,095 Vol.

18%

$600

$0 Vol.

9%

$620

$4,493 Vol.

6%

$640

$8,578 Vol.

9%

$660

$0 Vol.

8%

$680

$5,718 Vol.

8%

$700

$0 Vol.

11%

$720

$1,442 Vol.

2%

$740

$0 Vol.

11%

$760

$2,105 Vol.

2%

$780

$4,232 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Meta Platforms (META) stock has surged over 50% year-to-date entering late March, propelled by strong advertising revenue from AI-enhanced targeting algorithms and user engagement on Instagram and Facebook, alongside cost efficiencies that boosted margins in Q4 earnings. Llama 3 model previews and rapid adoption of the Meta AI chatbot—now integrated across WhatsApp, Messenger, and the web—have bolstered trader confidence in its artificial intelligence competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 24 could catalyze further moves, while EU Digital Markets Act compliance deadlines and potential U.S. TikTok restrictions pose regulatory risks; absent major late-March announcements, momentum from broader tech rally and capex discipline drives implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$33,933
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Meta Platforms (META) stock has surged over 50% year-to-date entering late March, propelled by strong advertising revenue from AI-enhanced targeting algorithms and user engagement on Instagram and Facebook, alongside cost efficiencies that boosted margins in Q4 earnings. Llama 3 model previews and rapid adoption of the Meta AI chatbot—now integrated across WhatsApp, Messenger, and the web—have bolstered trader confidence in its artificial intelligence competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 24 could catalyze further moves, while EU Digital Markets Act compliance deadlines and potential U.S. TikTok restrictions pose regulatory risks; absent major late-March announcements, momentum from broader tech rally and capex discipline drives implied probabilities.

Meta Platforms (META) stock has surged over 50% year-to-date entering late March, propelled by strong advertising revenue from AI-enhanced targeting algorithms and user engagement on Instagram and Facebook, alongside cost efficiencies that boosted margins in Q4 earnings. Llama 3 model previews and rapid adoption of the Meta AI chatbot—now integrated across WhatsApp, Messenger, and the web—have bolstered trader confidence in its artificial intelligence competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 24 could catalyze further moves, while EU Digital Markets Act compliance deadlines and potential U.S. TikTok restrictions pose regulatory risks; absent major late-March announcements, momentum from broader tech rally and capex discipline drives implied probabilities.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$540" at 68%, followed by "$560" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" has generated $33.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" is "$540" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$560" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.