Trader consensus strongly favors AI chipmaker Cerebras completing its initial public offering before year-end, propelled by its mid-April S-1 filing, May 4 roadshow launch, and plans for a $3.5 billion raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid explosive demand for AI hardware with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX trails closely, buoyed by an early-April confidential SEC filing and Starship milestones signaling a potential June roadshow toward a $1.5 trillion debut. Discord benefits from its January confidential filing, while OpenAI odds have softened following CFO Sarah Friar's recent private push to delay until 2027 over soaring capital expenditures and growth shortfalls. Key catalysts include Cerebras pricing around May 13 and broader market volatility from regulatory scrutiny on mega-IPOs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,120,612 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Discord
60%
Anthropic
56%
Remote
34%
OpenAI
27%
SHEIN
19%
Applied Intuition
23%
Deel
20%
Databricks
20%
Freddie Mac
18%
Ledger
18%
WHOOP
17%
Mistral AI
16%
Rippling
14%
Anduril
14%
ByteDance
14%
Glean
12%
Celonis
12%
Fannie Mae
12%
Anduril Industries
12%
Ramp
11%
Epic Games
11%
Ripple Labs
10%
Vanta
9%
Revolut
8%
Canva
8%
Stripe
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
7%
Waymo
3%
Brex
1%
$6,120,612 Vol.
Cerebras
$388,121 Vol.
100%
SpaceX
$557,252 Vol.
94%
Discord
$443,519 Vol.
60%
Anthropic
$216,263 Vol.
56%
Remote
$54,380 Vol.
34%
OpenAI
$230,217 Vol.
27%
SHEIN
$78,403 Vol.
19%
Applied Intuition
$191,300 Vol.
23%
Deel
$121,608 Vol.
20%
Databricks
$467,234 Vol.
20%
Freddie Mac
$244,123 Vol.
18%
Ledger
$508,156 Vol.
18%
WHOOP
$173 Vol.
17%
Mistral AI
$148,253 Vol.
16%
Rippling
$117,183 Vol.
14%
Anduril
$350,089 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$9,195 Vol.
14%
Glean
$44,599 Vol.
12%
Celonis
$207,715 Vol.
12%
Fannie Mae
$161,134 Vol.
12%
Anduril Industries
$30,014 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$143,880 Vol.
11%
Epic Games
$70,995 Vol.
11%
Ripple Labs
$145,535 Vol.
10%
Vanta
$130,366 Vol.
9%
Revolut
$56,567 Vol.
8%
Canva
$35,364 Vol.
8%
Stripe
$249,632 Vol.
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$97,032 Vol.
7%
Waymo
$51,348 Vol.
3%
Brex
$210,299 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors AI chipmaker Cerebras completing its initial public offering before year-end, propelled by its mid-April S-1 filing, May 4 roadshow launch, and plans for a $3.5 billion raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid explosive demand for AI hardware with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX trails closely, buoyed by an early-April confidential SEC filing and Starship milestones signaling a potential June roadshow toward a $1.5 trillion debut. Discord benefits from its January confidential filing, while OpenAI odds have softened following CFO Sarah Friar's recent private push to delay until 2027 over soaring capital expenditures and growth shortfalls. Key catalysts include Cerebras pricing around May 13 and broader market volatility from regulatory scrutiny on mega-IPOs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$6,120,612End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors AI chipmaker Cerebras completing its initial public offering before year-end, propelled by its mid-April S-1 filing, May 4 roadshow launch, and plans for a $3.5 billion raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid explosive demand for AI hardware with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX trails closely, buoyed by an early-April confidential SEC filing and Starship milestones signaling a potential June roadshow toward a $1.5 trillion debut. Discord benefits from its January confidential filing, while OpenAI odds have softened following CFO Sarah Friar's recent private push to delay until 2027 over soaring capital expenditures and growth shortfalls. Key catalysts include Cerebras pricing around May 13 and broader market volatility from regulatory scrutiny on mega-IPOs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,120,612End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly favors AI chipmaker Cerebras completing its initial public offering before year-end, propelled by its mid-April S-1 filing, May 4 roadshow launch, and plans for a $3.5 billion raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid explosive demand for AI hardware with over $10 billion in orders. SpaceX trails closely, buoyed by an early-April confidential SEC filing and Starship milestones signaling a potential June roadshow toward a $1.5 trillion debut. Discord benefits from its January confidential filing, while OpenAI odds have softened following CFO Sarah Friar's recent private push to delay until 2027 over soaring capital expenditures and growth shortfalls. Key catalysts include Cerebras pricing around May 13 and broader market volatility from regulatory scrutiny on mega-IPOs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions