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icon for IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

icon for IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$6,119,600 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,119,600 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Cerebras

Cerebras

$387,616 Vol.

100%

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SpaceX

$557,252 Vol.

94%

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Discord

$443,519 Vol.

60%

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Anthropic

$216,263 Vol.

57%

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Remote

$54,380 Vol.

32%

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OpenAI

$230,217 Vol.

27%

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SHEIN

$78,403 Vol.

19%

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Applied Intuition

$191,300 Vol.

23%

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Deel

$121,608 Vol.

20%

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Databricks

$467,234 Vol.

20%

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WHOOP

$173 Vol.

19%

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Mistral AI

$148,253 Vol.

16%

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Ledger

$508,108 Vol.

15%

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Freddie Mac

$243,893 Vol.

14%

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Anduril

$350,089 Vol.

14%

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ByteDance

$9,195 Vol.

14%

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Rippling

$117,108 Vol.

13%

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Glean

$44,599 Vol.

12%

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Celonis

$207,715 Vol.

12%

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Fannie Mae

$161,134 Vol.

12%

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Anduril Industries

$30,014 Vol.

12%

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Ramp

$143,880 Vol.

11%

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Epic Games

$70,995 Vol.

11%

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Ripple Labs

$145,535 Vol.

10%

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Anysphere (Cursor)

$96,990 Vol.

9%

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Vanta

$130,365 Vol.

9%

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Canva

$35,364 Vol.

9%

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Revolut

$56,567 Vol.

8%

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Stripe

$249,632 Vol.

7%

icon for Waymo

Waymo

$51,238 Vol.

3%

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Brex

$210,299 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion IPO raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation—fueled by $24.6 billion in AI chip orders and an OpenAI partnership—have propelled trader optimism for near-term tech listings before year-end. SpaceX bolsters this with its early April confidential SEC filing and planned June 8 roadshow targeting a record $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion, amid Starship milestones. However, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently cautioned delaying until 2027 to rein in data center spending, tempering AI lab expectations. Watch Cerebras pricing mid-May and SpaceX prospectus late May as pivotal catalysts in a competitive IPO window where mega-deals risk crowding smaller players.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,119,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras' mid-April S-1 filing and May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion IPO raise at up to $26.6 billion valuation—fueled by $24.6 billion in AI chip orders and an OpenAI partnership—have propelled trader optimism for near-term tech listings before year-end. SpaceX bolsters this with its early April confidential SEC filing and planned June 8 roadshow targeting a record $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion, amid Starship milestones. However, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar recently cautioned delaying until 2027 to rein in data center spending, tempering AI lab expectations. Watch Cerebras pricing mid-May and SpaceX prospectus late May as pivotal catalysts in a competitive IPO window where mega-deals risk crowding smaller players.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,119,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cerebras" at 100%, followed by "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $6.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Cerebras" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.