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IPOs before 2027?

Market icon

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$5,320,906 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,320,906 Vol.

Polymarket
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SpaceX

$458,454 Vol.

95%

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Cerebras

$277,966 Vol.

89%

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Discord

$424,318 Vol.

64%

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WHOOP

$0 Vol.

45%

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Anthropic

$165,935 Vol.

44%

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OpenAI

$192,015 Vol.

37%

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Ledger

$476,533 Vol.

35%

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Deel

$117,056 Vol.

34%

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Databricks

$446,887 Vol.

31%

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SHEIN

$61,100 Vol.

28%

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Canva

$20,122 Vol.

26%

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Anduril

$317,336 Vol.

23%

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Remote

$51,191 Vol.

22%

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Glean

$42,746 Vol.

21%

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Anduril Industries

$17,873 Vol.

21%

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Applied Intuition

$178,107 Vol.

20%

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Revolut

$35,338 Vol.

20%

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Anysphere (Cursor)

$89,648 Vol.

19%

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Epic Games

$66,021 Vol.

19%

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Waymo

$22,785 Vol.

18%

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Ripple Labs

$132,983 Vol.

18%

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Freddie Mac

$224,589 Vol.

17%

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Celonis

$195,264 Vol.

16%

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ByteDance

$1,666 Vol.

16%

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Mistral AI

$131,790 Vol.

16%

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Fannie Mae

$137,102 Vol.

16%

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Ramp

$136,570 Vol.

15%

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Brex

$102,168 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Vanta

$111,557 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Rippling

$97,479 Vol.

14%

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Stripe

$227,646 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its IPO before year-end, targeting a June listing at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starship successes and Starlink expansion. Cerebras follows at 90%, buoyed by AI chip demand and rumored preparations in a competitive landscape with Nvidia dominance, while Discord holds 64% post its January confidential filing despite Q1 delays. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (46%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect groundwork without filings, sensitive to regulatory scrutiny and model release timelines. Watch upcoming SEC reviews and roadshows as catalysts in this $5.3M-volume market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,320,906
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its IPO before year-end, targeting a June listing at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starship successes and Starlink expansion. Cerebras follows at 90%, buoyed by AI chip demand and rumored preparations in a competitive landscape with Nvidia dominance, while Discord holds 64% post its January confidential filing despite Q1 delays. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (46%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect groundwork without filings, sensitive to regulatory scrutiny and model release timelines. Watch upcoming SEC reviews and roadshows as catalysts in this $5.3M-volume market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,320,906
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, followed by "Wealthfront" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wealthfront" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.