SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its IPO before year-end, targeting a June listing at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starship successes and Starlink expansion. Cerebras follows at 90%, buoyed by AI chip demand and rumored preparations in a competitive landscape with Nvidia dominance, while Discord holds 64% post its January confidential filing despite Q1 delays. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (46%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect groundwork without filings, sensitive to regulatory scrutiny and model release timelines. Watch upcoming SEC reviews and roadshows as catalysts in this $5.3M-volume market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$5,320,906 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
64%

WHOOP
45%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
37%

Ledger
35%

Deel
34%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

Anduril
23%

Remote
22%

Glean
21%

Anduril Industries
21%

Applied Intuition
20%

Revolut
20%

Anysphere (Cursor)
19%

Epic Games
19%

Waymo
18%

Ripple Labs
18%

Freddie Mac
17%

Celonis
16%

ByteDance
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
16%

Ramp
15%

Brex
14%

Vanta
14%

Rippling
14%

Stripe
13%
$5,320,906 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
64%

WHOOP
45%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
37%

Ledger
35%

Deel
34%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

Anduril
23%

Remote
22%

Glean
21%

Anduril Industries
21%

Applied Intuition
20%

Revolut
20%

Anysphere (Cursor)
19%

Epic Games
19%

Waymo
18%

Ripple Labs
18%

Freddie Mac
17%

Celonis
16%

ByteDance
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
16%

Ramp
15%

Brex
14%

Vanta
14%

Rippling
14%

Stripe
13%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its IPO before year-end, targeting a June listing at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starship successes and Starlink expansion. Cerebras follows at 90%, buoyed by AI chip demand and rumored preparations in a competitive landscape with Nvidia dominance, while Discord holds 64% post its January confidential filing despite Q1 delays. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (46%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect groundwork without filings, sensitive to regulatory scrutiny and model release timelines. Watch upcoming SEC reviews and roadshows as catalysts in this $5.3M-volume market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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