Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Robert MacIntyre 13.5%

Ludvig Aberg 9.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.3%

Michael Kim 6.1%

Polymarket

$250,918 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre 13.5%

Ludvig Aberg 9.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 8.3%

Michael Kim 6.1%

Polymarket

$250,918 Vol.

Robert MacIntyre

$684 Vol.

13%

Ludvig Aberg

$8,766 Vol.

10%

Tommy Fleetwood

$2,291 Vol.

8%

Michael Kim

$1,355 Vol.

6%

Maverick McNealy

$1,093 Vol.

5%

J.J. Spaun

$285 Vol.

4%

Andrew Putnam

$55 Vol.

3%

Jordan L. Smith

$1,317 Vol.

3%

Denny McCarthy

$34,978 Vol.

3%

Tony Finau

$1,584 Vol.

3%

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

2%

Mark Hubbard

$976 Vol.

2%

Ryo Hisatsune

$1,365 Vol.

2%

Eric Cole

$260 Vol.

2%

Marco Penge

$795 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$2,509 Vol.

2%

Steven Fisk

$55 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$2,724 Vol.

2%

Austin Smotherman

$1,656 Vol.

1%

John Parry

$15 Vol.

1%

Hideki Matsuyama

$944 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$405 Vol.

1%

Kevin Roy

$55 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$155 Vol.

25%

Daniel Brown

$70 Vol.

24%

A.J. Ewart

$85 Vol.

25%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$95 Vol.

25%

JT Poston

$58 Vol.

25%

Henry Lebioda

$70 Vol.

21%

David Lipsky

$1,666 Vol.

1%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$13,888 Vol.

1%

Rickie Fowler

$269 Vol.

1%

Si Woo Kim

$46,104 Vol.

1%

Austin Eckroat

$55 Vol.

1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$80 Vol.

1%

Patrick Fishburn

$135 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$6,045 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$455 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$55 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$263 Vol.

1%

Pontus Nyholm

$193 Vol.

1%

Keith Mitchell

$7,577 Vol.

1%

Doug Ghim

$55 Vol.

1%

Christo Lamprecht

$210 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$73 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$55 Vol.

1%

Adam Schenk

$55 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$1,355 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$1,108 Vol.

1%

Mac Meissner

$100 Vol.

1%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$122 Vol.

<1%

Chandler Blanchet

$260 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$350 Vol.

<1%

Chad Ramey

$55 Vol.

<1%

Garrick Higgo

$55 Vol.

<1%

Beau Hossler

$85 Vol.

<1%

Stephan Jaeger

$450 Vol.

<1%

Takumi Kanaya

$80 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$217 Vol.

<1%

Peter Malnati

$55 Vol.

<1%

Nick Dunlap

$85 Vol.

<1%

Adrien Saddier

$55 Vol.

<1%

Brandt Snedeker

$55 Vol.

<1%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$55 Vol.

<1%

Emiliano Grillo

$70 Vol.

<1%

Lee Hodges

$85 Vol.

<1%

Charley Hoffman

$559 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hoge

$253 Vol.

<1%

Jeffrey Kang

$55 Vol.

<1%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$1,360 Vol.

<1%

Patton Kizzire

$212 Vol.

<1%

Joe Highsmith

$212 Vol.

<1%

Kensei Hirata

$230 Vol.

<1%

Mackenzie Hughes

$60 Vol.

<1%

William Mouw

$1,498 Vol.

<1%

Matthieu Pavon

$193 Vol.

<1%

Seamus Power

$55 Vol.

<1%

Ricky Castillo

$1,774 Vol.

<1%

David Ford

$120 Vol.

<1%

Johnny Keefer

$35,300 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Campos

$1,008 Vol.

<1%

Marcelo Rozo

$862 Vol.

<1%

Webb Simpson

$1,942 Vol.

<1%

Lucas Glover

$1,098 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$1,106 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$80 Vol.

25%

Chandler Phillips

$1,010 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$1,231 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$1,037 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Berger

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Rodgers

$2,567 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$675 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$1,967 Vol.

<1%

Pierceson Coody

$2,504 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$37,075 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$2,838 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).After a weather-delayed Round 1 suspended for darkness at the Valero Texas Open on TPC San Antonio's firm, windy Oaks Course, Mark Hubbard holds the solo lead at 7-under, but a massive pack—including Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood, Robert MacIntyre, and Tony Finau at 6-under or better—keeps the leaderboard tightly bunched within two strokes through 18 holes for most. Mid-tier challengers like Zach Bauchou (T15 at 4-under), A.J. Ewart (-3 through 14), and Max McGreevy (-1) have posted strong starts, fueling trader consensus that prices these longshots around 25% implied probability amid skepticism on favorites' closing ability in gusty 15-20 mph winds favoring scramblers and par-5 scoring. Play resumes Friday morning, with cut line looming and Masters implications heightening volatility in this final full-field event.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$250,918
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).After a weather-delayed Round 1 suspended for darkness at the Valero Texas Open on TPC San Antonio's firm, windy Oaks Course, Mark Hubbard holds the solo lead at 7-under, but a massive pack—including Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood, Robert MacIntyre, and Tony Finau at 6-under or better—keeps the leaderboard tightly bunched within two strokes through 18 holes for most. Mid-tier challengers like Zach Bauchou (T15 at 4-under), A.J. Ewart (-3 through 14), and Max McGreevy (-1) have posted strong starts, fueling trader consensus that prices these longshots around 25% implied probability amid skepticism on favorites' closing ability in gusty 15-20 mph winds favoring scramblers and par-5 scoring. Play resumes Friday morning, with cut line looming and Masters implications heightening volatility in this final full-field event.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$250,918
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

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Will J.J. Spaun finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

50%
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Will Ze-Cheng Dou finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

51%
Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

87%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zach Bauchou" at 25%, followed by "A.J. Ewart" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" has generated $250.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "Zach Bauchou" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A.J. Ewart" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.