Market icon

Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?

Vermont 100.0%

Massachusetts 100.0%

Utah 100.0%

Virginia 100.0%

Polymarket

$560,210 Vol.

Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and votes for the next highest vote-getter:
# Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest ) - # Next highest / (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Vermont Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$560,210
종료일
Mar 5, 2024
생성일
Feb 29, 2024, 6:18 PM ET
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and votes for the next highest vote-getter: # Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest ) - # Next highest / (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Vermont Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. ‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election. The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vermont" at 100%, followed by "Massachusetts" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" has generated $560.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 29, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" is "Vermont" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Massachusetts" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?

Vermont 100.0%

Massachusetts 100.0%

Utah 100.0%

Virginia 100.0%

Polymarket

$560,210 Vol.

Market icon

Vermont

$80,846 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Massachusetts

$39,535 Vol.

No

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Utah

$37,808 Vol.

No

Market icon

Virginia

$50,207 Vol.

No

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Colorado

$36,557 Vol.

No

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Arkansas

$37,689 Vol.

No

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Alabama

$32,703 Vol.

No

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Alaska

$43,230 Vol.

No

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California

$25,923 Vol.

No

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Maine

$20,733 Vol.

No

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Minnesota

$26,400 Vol.

No

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North Carolina

$46,909 Vol.

No

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Oklahoma

$25,371 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tennessee

$34,635 Vol.

No

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Texas

$21,663 Vol.

No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vermont" at 100%, followed by "Massachusetts" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" has generated $560.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 29, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" is "Vermont" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Massachusetts" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.