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Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?

Market icon

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,447 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$9,447 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
音量
$9,447
終了日
Dec 4, 2023
作成日時
Nov 28, 2023, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
音量
$9,447
終了日
Dec 4, 2023
作成日時
Nov 28, 2023, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 28, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.