Gemini 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
Claude <1%
Grok <1%
$2,268,312 Vol.
$2,268,312 Vol.
Jan 31, 2025

Gemini
Yes

ChatGPT
No

Claude
No

Grok
No

Other
No

Llama
No
Gemini 100.0%
ChatGPT <1%
Claude <1%
Grok <1%
$2,268,312 Vol.
$2,268,312 Vol.
Jan 31, 2025

Gemini
$314,509 Vol.
Yes

ChatGPT
$200,415 Vol.
No

Claude
$219,330 Vol.
No

Grok
$293,814 Vol.
No

Other
$318,904 Vol.
No

Llama
$921,341 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Dec 23, 2024, 2:31 PM ET
音量
$2,268,312終了日
Jan 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2024, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions