Trader consensus favors a massive opening above $200 million for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, driven by surging pre-sales and robust final tracking data in the week leading to its April 1 release, building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $146 million domestic debut. The final trailer, dropped March 9, amassed over 6 million views across platforms, amplifying family audience buzz with cameos like Fox McCloud and voices including Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, and Donald Glover voicing Yoshi. Easter holiday timing boosts 5-day projections to $175-200 million per recent updates from Boxoffice Pro and Deadline, though analysts note potential for walk-ups amid light competition; final pre-sale surges have edged market-implied odds toward blockbuster territory despite historical animated sequel precedents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
>200m 44%
170-180m 14.8%
190-200m 13.4%
160-170m 12.2%
$271,922 Vol.
$271,922 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
7%
160-170m
12%
170-180m
15%
180-190m
11%
190-200m
13%
>200m
44%
>200m 44%
170-180m 14.8%
190-200m 13.4%
160-170m 12.2%
$271,922 Vol.
$271,922 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
$20,671 Vol.
7%
160-170m
$20,473 Vol.
12%
170-180m
$19,208 Vol.
15%
180-190m
$20,079 Vol.
11%
190-200m
$19,792 Vol.
13%
>200m
$171,700 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors a massive opening above $200 million for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, driven by surging pre-sales and robust final tracking data in the week leading to its April 1 release, building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $146 million domestic debut. The final trailer, dropped March 9, amassed over 6 million views across platforms, amplifying family audience buzz with cameos like Fox McCloud and voices including Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, and Donald Glover voicing Yoshi. Easter holiday timing boosts 5-day projections to $175-200 million per recent updates from Boxoffice Pro and Deadline, though analysts note potential for walk-ups amid light competition; final pre-sale surges have edged market-implied odds toward blockbuster territory despite historical animated sequel precedents.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
音量
$271,922終了日
Apr 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors a massive opening above $200 million for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, driven by surging pre-sales and robust final tracking data in the week leading to its April 1 release, building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $146 million domestic debut. The final trailer, dropped March 9, amassed over 6 million views across platforms, amplifying family audience buzz with cameos like Fox McCloud and voices including Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, and Donald Glover voicing Yoshi. Easter holiday timing boosts 5-day projections to $175-200 million per recent updates from Boxoffice Pro and Deadline, though analysts note potential for walk-ups amid light competition; final pre-sale surges have edged market-implied odds toward blockbuster territory despite historical animated sequel precedents.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$271,922終了日
Apr 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a massive opening above $200 million for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, driven by surging pre-sales and robust final tracking data in the week leading to its April 1 release, building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $146 million domestic debut. The final trailer, dropped March 9, amassed over 6 million views across platforms, amplifying family audience buzz with cameos like Fox McCloud and voices including Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, and Donald Glover voicing Yoshi. Easter holiday timing boosts 5-day projections to $175-200 million per recent updates from Boxoffice Pro and Deadline, though analysts note potential for walk-ups amid light competition; final pre-sale surges have edged market-implied odds toward blockbuster territory despite historical animated sequel precedents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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