Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Silver (SI) June settlement—led by $60-$70 at 15.8% and $50-$60 at 15.2%—mirror recent spot price volatility, with silver correcting to around $73/oz in early April 2026 after peaking above $120 in January amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a potential EMA crossover. Persistent structural deficits, now in their sixth year, pit robust industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and AI infrastructure against macroeconomic headwinds including a firmer U.S. dollar and Fed policy uncertainty. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, May FOMC meeting, and China industrial output figures, which could tip the futures curve toward contango or renewed backwardation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$60-$70 15.7%
$50～$60 15.2%
80～90ドル 15%
$70～$80 12.1%
$449,343 Vol.
$449,343 Vol.
2026/06/30
50ドル未満
11%
$50～$60
15%
$60-$70
16%
$70～$80
12%
80～90ドル
15%
90～100ドル
11%
$100〜$115
9%
115ドル超
11%
$60-$70 15.7%
$50～$60 15.2%
80～90ドル 15%
$70～$80 12.1%
$449,343 Vol.
$449,343 Vol.
2026/06/30
50ドル未満
$60,558 Vol.
11%
$50～$60
$50,380 Vol.
15%
$60-$70
$50,650 Vol.
16%
$70～$80
$35,744 Vol.
12%
80～90ドル
$22,899 Vol.
15%
90～100ドル
$31,659 Vol.
11%
$100〜$115
$39,147 Vol.
9%
115ドル超
$158,306 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Silver (SI) June settlement—led by $60-$70 at 15.8% and $50-$60 at 15.2%—mirror recent spot price volatility, with silver correcting to around $73/oz in early April 2026 after peaking above $120 in January amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a potential EMA crossover. Persistent structural deficits, now in their sixth year, pit robust industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and AI infrastructure against macroeconomic headwinds including a firmer U.S. dollar and Fed policy uncertainty. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, May FOMC meeting, and China industrial output figures, which could tip the futures curve toward contango or renewed backwardation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$449,343終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Silver (SI) June settlement—led by $60-$70 at 15.8% and $50-$60 at 15.2%—mirror recent spot price volatility, with silver correcting to around $73/oz in early April 2026 after peaking above $120 in January amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a potential EMA crossover. Persistent structural deficits, now in their sixth year, pit robust industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and AI infrastructure against macroeconomic headwinds including a firmer U.S. dollar and Fed policy uncertainty. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, May FOMC meeting, and China industrial output figures, which could tip the futures curve toward contango or renewed backwardation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
音量
$449,343終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETPolymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Silver (SI) June settlement—led by $60-$70 at 15.8% and $50-$60 at 15.2%—mirror recent spot price volatility, with silver correcting to around $73/oz in early April 2026 after peaking above $120 in January amid profit-taking and bearish technical signals like a potential EMA crossover. Persistent structural deficits, now in their sixth year, pit robust industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and AI infrastructure against macroeconomic headwinds including a firmer U.S. dollar and Fed policy uncertainty. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, May FOMC meeting, and China industrial output figures, which could tip the futures curve toward contango or renewed backwardation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問