A Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruling on April 6 affirmed a preliminary injunction for prediction market platform Kalshi, holding that the CFTC maintains exclusive jurisdiction over sports event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, preempting New Jersey's state gaming regulations. This 2-1 decision strengthens federal authority for binary contracts on sports outcomes traded as swaps, reducing short-term pressure for Supreme Court intervention despite ongoing disputes in circuits like the Ninth. No certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket yet, though losing states could file soon, with grants decided at Friday conferences through summer. Bipartisan legislation introduced March 30 seeks to ban such contracts outright, heightening regulatory risks ahead of the July 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$936,452 Vol.
2026/12/31
7月31日
14%
12月31日
43%
$936,452 Vol.
7月31日
$929,259 Vol.
14%
12月31日
$7,194 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. A Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruling on April 6 affirmed a preliminary injunction for prediction market platform Kalshi, holding that the CFTC maintains exclusive jurisdiction over sports event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, preempting New Jersey's state gaming regulations. This 2-1 decision strengthens federal authority for binary contracts on sports outcomes traded as swaps, reducing short-term pressure for Supreme Court intervention despite ongoing disputes in circuits like the Ninth. No certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket yet, though losing states could file soon, with grants decided at Friday conferences through summer. Bipartisan legislation introduced March 30 seeks to ban such contracts outright, heightening regulatory risks ahead of the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
音量
$936,452終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. A Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruling on April 6 affirmed a preliminary injunction for prediction market platform Kalshi, holding that the CFTC maintains exclusive jurisdiction over sports event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, preempting New Jersey's state gaming regulations. This 2-1 decision strengthens federal authority for binary contracts on sports outcomes traded as swaps, reducing short-term pressure for Supreme Court intervention despite ongoing disputes in circuits like the Ninth. No certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket yet, though losing states could file soon, with grants decided at Friday conferences through summer. Bipartisan legislation introduced March 30 seeks to ban such contracts outright, heightening regulatory risks ahead of the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
音量
$936,452終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruling on April 6 affirmed a preliminary injunction for prediction market platform Kalshi, holding that the CFTC maintains exclusive jurisdiction over sports event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, preempting New Jersey's state gaming regulations. This 2-1 decision strengthens federal authority for binary contracts on sports outcomes traded as swaps, reducing short-term pressure for Supreme Court intervention despite ongoing disputes in circuits like the Ninth. No certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket yet, though losing states could file soon, with grants decided at Friday conferences through summer. Bipartisan legislation introduced March 30 seeks to ban such contracts outright, heightening regulatory risks ahead of the July 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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