Skip to main content
icon for ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました

ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました

icon for ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました

ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$2,689 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$2,689 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The March 31 deadline for charges against Special Counsel Jack Smith has expired without any indictment, arrest, or official announcement from the Department of Justice or other authorities, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." In the past week, no procedural steps—such as grand jury proceedings, formal investigations, or public statements from Attorney General Pam Bondi—materialized despite earlier speculation tied to President Trump's pledges for accountability on prior Trump-related probes like January 6 and classified documents cases. Absent late-breaking disclosures or overlooked filings verified by official sources, resolution appears certain, though traders note minimal risk from potential administrative delays in public reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,689
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 22, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The March 31 deadline for charges against Special Counsel Jack Smith has expired without any indictment, arrest, or official announcement from the Department of Justice or other authorities, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." In the past week, no procedural steps—such as grand jury proceedings, formal investigations, or public statements from Attorney General Pam Bondi—materialized despite earlier speculation tied to President Trump's pledges for accountability on prior Trump-related probes like January 6 and classified documents cases. Absent late-breaking disclosures or overlooked filings verified by official sources, resolution appears certain, though traders note minimal risk from potential administrative delays in public reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,689
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 22, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されるか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました」の現在のリーダーは「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されるか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジャック・スミスは3月31日までに起訴されました」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。