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政治·最高裁判所

サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？

Market icon
政治·最高裁判所

サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？

$32,703 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$32,703 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$9,759 Vol.

2%

12月31日

$7,863 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, appointed to the Supreme Court in 2006, has made no announcement of retirement despite heightened speculation following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory, which could enable conservative replacements before the 2026 midterms. Recent ethics controversies, including flag displays at Alito's residences linked to January 6 events, have intensified calls for his recusal or resignation, but he has defended his impartiality in public appearances, such as a November Federalist Society speech affirming judicial independence. No health issues or procedural signals suggest imminent departure; historical patterns show justices often retire during summer recesses after terms end in June. Traders eye official statements, Court calendar, and potential special counsel developments amid ongoing ethics probes, with resolution tied to a specific announcement date.

Justice Samuel Alito, appointed to the Supreme Court in 2006, has made no announcement of retirement despite heightened speculation following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory, which could enable conservative replacements before the 2026 midterms. Recent ethics controversies, including flag displays at Alito's residences linked to January 6 events, have intensified calls for his recusal or resignation, but he has defended his impartiality in public appearances, such as a November Federalist Society speech affirming judicial independence. No health issues or procedural signals suggest imminent departure; historical patterns show justices often retire during summer recesses after terms end in June. Traders eye official statements, Court calendar, and potential special counsel developments amid ongoing ethics probes, with resolution tied to a specific announcement date.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, appointed to the Supreme Court in 2006, has made no announcement of retirement despite heightened speculation following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory, which could enable conservative replacements before the 2026 midterms. Recent ethics controversies, including flag displays at Alito's residences linked to January 6 events, have intensified calls for his recusal or resignation, but he has defended his impartiality in public appearances, such as a November Federalist Society speech affirming judicial independence. No health issues or procedural signals suggest imminent departure; historical patterns show justices often retire during summer recesses after terms end in June. Traders eye official statements, Court calendar, and potential special counsel developments amid ongoing ethics probes, with resolution tied to a specific announcement date.

Justice Samuel Alito, appointed to the Supreme Court in 2006, has made no announcement of retirement despite heightened speculation following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory, which could enable conservative replacements before the 2026 midterms. Recent ethics controversies, including flag displays at Alito's residences linked to January 6 events, have intensified calls for his recusal or resignation, but he has defended his impartiality in public appearances, such as a November Federalist Society speech affirming judicial independence. No health issues or procedural signals suggest imminent departure; historical patterns show justices often retire during summer recesses after terms end in June. Traders eye official statements, Court calendar, and potential special counsel developments amid ongoing ethics probes, with resolution tied to a specific announcement date.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で49%、次いで「3月31日」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？」は$32.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サミュエル・アリートは...までに引退を発表しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。