During December 8, 2025, oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, a solid majority of Supreme Court justices signaled support for the Trump administration's position that statutory for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers principles, potentially overruling the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This followed the Court's September 22, 2025, 6-3 stay allowing Slaughter's March firing to stand pending merits review, after a lower court ordered her reinstatement. Trader consensus at 82.8% for "Yes" reflects this apparent judicial lean toward unrestricted presidential removal authority over FTC leaders, with a final ruling expected by June 2026 amid ongoing agency independence debates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$20,284 Vol.
$20,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$20,284 Vol.
$20,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.During December 8, 2025, oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, a solid majority of Supreme Court justices signaled support for the Trump administration's position that statutory for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers principles, potentially overruling the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This followed the Court's September 22, 2025, 6-3 stay allowing Slaughter's March firing to stand pending merits review, after a lower court ordered her reinstatement. Trader consensus at 82.8% for "Yes" reflects this apparent judicial lean toward unrestricted presidential removal authority over FTC leaders, with a final ruling expected by June 2026 amid ongoing agency independence debates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
音量
$20,284終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.During December 8, 2025, oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, a solid majority of Supreme Court justices signaled support for the Trump administration's position that statutory for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers principles, potentially overruling the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This followed the Court's September 22, 2025, 6-3 stay allowing Slaughter's March firing to stand pending merits review, after a lower court ordered her reinstatement. Trader consensus at 82.8% for "Yes" reflects this apparent judicial lean toward unrestricted presidential removal authority over FTC leaders, with a final ruling expected by June 2026 amid ongoing agency independence debates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$20,284終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...During December 8, 2025, oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, a solid majority of Supreme Court justices signaled support for the Trump administration's position that statutory for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers principles, potentially overruling the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This followed the Court's September 22, 2025, 6-3 stay allowing Slaughter's March firing to stand pending merits review, after a lower court ordered her reinstatement. Trader consensus at 82.8% for "Yes" reflects this apparent judicial lean toward unrestricted presidential removal authority over FTC leaders, with a final ruling expected by June 2026 amid ongoing agency independence debates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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