Supreme Court justices signaled strong support for President Trump's position during December 8, 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, appearing likely to strike down Federal Trade Commission statutory removal protections that limit firings to instances of inefficiency, neglect, or malfeasance. This follows a 6-3 stay order on September 22, 2025, permitting Trump's March 2025 removal of Democratic FTC Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to remain in effect pending full review. With no major developments since arguments and a merits ruling expected by June 2026, the 82% Yes probability captures trader consensus on the conservative majority's unitary executive stance, consistent with recent agency independence challenges like those involving the CFPB director.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$20,284 Vol.
$20,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$20,284 Vol.
$20,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Supreme Court justices signaled strong support for President Trump's position during December 8, 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, appearing likely to strike down Federal Trade Commission statutory removal protections that limit firings to instances of inefficiency, neglect, or malfeasance. This follows a 6-3 stay order on September 22, 2025, permitting Trump's March 2025 removal of Democratic FTC Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to remain in effect pending full review. With no major developments since arguments and a merits ruling expected by June 2026, the 82% Yes probability captures trader consensus on the conservative majority's unitary executive stance, consistent with recent agency independence challenges like those involving the CFPB director.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
音量
$20,284終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Supreme Court justices signaled strong support for President Trump's position during December 8, 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, appearing likely to strike down Federal Trade Commission statutory removal protections that limit firings to instances of inefficiency, neglect, or malfeasance. This follows a 6-3 stay order on September 22, 2025, permitting Trump's March 2025 removal of Democratic FTC Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to remain in effect pending full review. With no major developments since arguments and a merits ruling expected by June 2026, the 82% Yes probability captures trader consensus on the conservative majority's unitary executive stance, consistent with recent agency independence challenges like those involving the CFPB director.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$20,284終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court justices signaled strong support for President Trump's position during December 8, 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, appearing likely to strike down Federal Trade Commission statutory removal protections that limit firings to instances of inefficiency, neglect, or malfeasance. This follows a 6-3 stay order on September 22, 2025, permitting Trump's March 2025 removal of Democratic FTC Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to remain in effect pending full review. With no major developments since arguments and a merits ruling expected by June 2026, the 82% Yes probability captures trader consensus on the conservative majority's unitary executive stance, consistent with recent agency independence challenges like those involving the CFPB director.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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