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Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory

Red by 4–7 100.0%

Red by 16+ <1%

Red by 12–15 <1%

Red by 8–11 <1%

Polymarket

$549,550 Vol.

The 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election will be held on Monday, 8 September 2025, to elect members of the 171-seat Storting (Norway’s parliament).

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Storting between the Red Bloc and the Blue Bloc as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election (e.g. Red Bloc controls 90, Blue Bloc controls 70, difference = 20).

If the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The blue bloc in Norway refers to the following four parties—Conservative (H), Progress (FrP), Liberal (V), and Christian Democratic (KrF).

The red bloc in Norway refers to the following five parties—Labour (Ap), Socialist Left (SV), Red (R), Centre (Sp), and the Green Party (MDG).

This market's resolution will be based on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
音量
$549,550
作成日時
Aug 21, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
The 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election will be held on Monday, 8 September 2025, to elect members of the 171-seat Storting (Norway’s parliament). This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Storting between the Red Bloc and the Blue Bloc as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election (e.g. Red Bloc controls 90, Blue Bloc controls 70, difference = 20). If the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The blue bloc in Norway refers to the following four parties—Conservative (H), Progress (FrP), Liberal (V), and Christian Democratic (KrF). The red bloc in Norway refers to the following five parties—Labour (Ap), Socialist Left (SV), Red (R), Centre (Sp), and the Green Party (MDG). This market's resolution will be based on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Red by 4–7" at 100%, followed by "Red by 16+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" has generated $549.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" is "Red by 4–7" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Red by 16+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory

Red by 4–7 100.0%

Red by 16+ <1%

Red by 12–15 <1%

Red by 8–11 <1%

Polymarket

$549,550 Vol.

Red by 16+

$30,132 Vol.

No

Red by 12–15

$13,534 Vol.

No

Red by 8–11

$15,157 Vol.

No

Red by 4–7

$43,280 Vol.

Yes

Red by 0–3

$44,166 Vol.

No

Blue by 1–4

$229,030 Vol.

No

Blue by 5–8

$59,449 Vol.

No

Blue by 9+

$114,802 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Red by 4–7" at 100%, followed by "Red by 16+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" has generated $549.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" is "Red by 4–7" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Red by 16+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.