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Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?

Market icon

Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?

$273,550 Vol.

Nov 28, 2025
Polymarket

$273,550 Vol.

Polymarket

>10%

$32,361 Vol.

No

>15%

$91,394 Vol.

No

>20%

$73,426 Vol.

No

>25%

$76,368 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
音量
$273,550
終了日
Nov 28, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 27, 2025, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">10%" at 0%, followed by ">15%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" has generated $273.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" is ">10%" at just 0%, with ">15%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 on Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.