Market icon

最も人気のある男の子の名前2025

Market icon

最も人気のある男の子の名前2025

リアム 86.9%

ノア 8.0%

セオドア <1%

ジェームズ <1%

Polymarket

$683,957 Vol.

リアム 86.9%

ノア 8.0%

セオドア <1%

ジェームズ <1%

Polymarket

$683,957 Vol.

リアム

$179,493 Vol.

87%

ノア

$162,619 Vol.

8%

セオドア

$37,036 Vol.

1%

ジェームズ

$199,647 Vol.

<1%

ルーカス

$0 Vol.

<1%

ウィリアム

$0 Vol.

<1%

マテオ

$37,573 Vol.

<1%

ヘンリー

$32,820 Vol.

<1%

オリバー

$34,770 Vol.

<1%

エリヤ

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's commanding 86.1% implied probability stems from its unchallenged reign as the Social Security Administration's top boy name for the sixth straight year in 2024 data, released in May 2025, underscoring enduring cultural appeal amid stable naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah trails at 8.2% after BabyCenter's November 2025 report showed it leading partial-year stats, yet traders discount this shift based on historical patterns where early leads often fade in full SSA tallies. Theodore's 0.9% reflects its recent climb into the top five, while lower odds on James, Mateo, Henry, Lucas, William, Oliver, and Elijah align with their consistent top-10 positions without breakout momentum. With the official SSA 2025 list due in May 2026, late-year birth data could influence final rankings, but trader consensus backs Liam's staying power.

Liam's commanding 86.1% implied probability stems from its unchallenged reign as the Social Security Administration's top boy name for the sixth straight year in 2024 data, released in May 2025, underscoring enduring cultural appeal amid stable naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah trails at 8.2% after BabyCenter's November 2025 report showed it leading partial-year stats, yet traders discount this shift based on historical patterns where early leads often fade in full SSA tallies. Theodore's 0.9% reflects its recent climb into the top five, while lower odds on James, Mateo, Henry, Lucas, William, Oliver, and Elijah align with their consistent top-10 positions without breakout momentum. With the official SSA 2025 list due in May 2026, late-year birth data could influence final rankings, but trader consensus backs Liam's staying power.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's commanding 86.1% implied probability stems from its unchallenged reign as the Social Security Administration's top boy name for the sixth straight year in 2024 data, released in May 2025, underscoring enduring cultural appeal amid stable naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah trails at 8.2% after BabyCenter's November 2025 report showed it leading partial-year stats, yet traders discount this shift based on historical patterns where early leads often fade in full SSA tallies. Theodore's 0.9% reflects its recent climb into the top five, while lower odds on James, Mateo, Henry, Lucas, William, Oliver, and Elijah align with their consistent top-10 positions without breakout momentum. With the official SSA 2025 list due in May 2026, late-year birth data could influence final rankings, but trader consensus backs Liam's staying power.

Liam's commanding 86.1% implied probability stems from its unchallenged reign as the Social Security Administration's top boy name for the sixth straight year in 2024 data, released in May 2025, underscoring enduring cultural appeal amid stable naming trends favoring short, strong classics. Noah trails at 8.2% after BabyCenter's November 2025 report showed it leading partial-year stats, yet traders discount this shift based on historical patterns where early leads often fade in full SSA tallies. Theodore's 0.9% reflects its recent climb into the top five, while lower odds on James, Mateo, Henry, Lucas, William, Oliver, and Elijah align with their consistent top-10 positions without breakout momentum. With the official SSA 2025 list due in May 2026, late-year birth data could influence final rankings, but trader consensus backs Liam's staying power.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「最も人気のある男の子の名前2025」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リアム」で87%、次いで「ノア」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「最も人気のある男の子の名前2025」は$684Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「最も人気のある男の子の名前2025」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「最も人気のある男の子の名前2025」の現在のフロントランナーは「リアム」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ノア」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「最も人気のある男の子の名前2025」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。