Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding double-digit leads—55% to 58% over top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue—in the February University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to win the November 3 general election. Healey's January reelection announcement, paired with 51% approval and Massachusetts' Democratic voter registration edge (over 35% vs. Republicans' 9%), reinforce her frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary, where a Minogue-commissioned February Pulse survey shows him at 29% but 47% undecided. Scenarios like a Healey scandal, plummeting approval, or a unified GOP nominee appealing to independents could shift odds, though primaries on September 1 loom as the next catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$4,372 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,327 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding double-digit leads—55% to 58% over top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue—in the February University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to win the November 3 general election. Healey's January reelection announcement, paired with 51% approval and Massachusetts' Democratic voter registration edge (over 35% vs. Republicans' 9%), reinforce her frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary, where a Minogue-commissioned February Pulse survey shows him at 29% but 47% undecided. Scenarios like a Healey scandal, plummeting approval, or a unified GOP nominee appealing to independents could shift odds, though primaries on September 1 loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$12,699終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding double-digit leads—55% to 58% over top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue—in the February University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to win the November 3 general election. Healey's January reelection announcement, paired with 51% approval and Massachusetts' Democratic voter registration edge (over 35% vs. Republicans' 9%), reinforce her frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary, where a Minogue-commissioned February Pulse survey shows him at 29% but 47% undecided. Scenarios like a Healey scandal, plummeting approval, or a unified GOP nominee appealing to independents could shift odds, though primaries on September 1 loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$12,699終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding double-digit leads—55% to 58% over top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue—in the February University of New Hampshire poll among likely voters underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 94% to win the November 3 general election. Healey's January reelection announcement, paired with 51% approval and Massachusetts' Democratic voter registration edge (over 35% vs. Republicans' 9%), reinforce her frontrunner status amid a fragmented GOP primary, where a Minogue-commissioned February Pulse survey shows him at 29% but 47% undecided. Scenarios like a Healey scandal, plummeting approval, or a unified GOP nominee appealing to independents could shift odds, though primaries on September 1 loom as the next catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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