SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing and roadshow preparations have anchored strong trader consensus for its 2026 debut, while OpenAI and Anthropic face more contested timelines amid ongoing banker discussions and pre-IPO funding rounds targeting valuations near or above $850–900 billion. Recent revenue shortfalls at OpenAI and its ongoing legal matters with Elon Musk introduce uncertainty, contrasting with Anthropic's reported path toward an October or Q4 listing and first profitable quarter. Databricks and Stripe show lower implied probabilities as they prioritize private flexibility over immediate liquidity needs. Key near-term catalysts include additional SEC filings, earnings updates, and broader market conditions that could accelerate or delay multiple AI and tech listings before the 2027 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,373,036 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
98%
OpenAI
76%
Anthropic
74%
Discord
58%
リモート
22%
Databricks
21%
WHOOP
18%
リプリング
17%
SHEIN
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Applied Intuition
15%
フレディマック
15%
リップル・ラボ
14%
ファニーメイ
13%
Epic Games
12%
Glean
12%
Ledger
12%
Ramp
11%
Anduril
11%
Celonis
10%
Anduril Industries
10%
Canva
9%
Vanta
9%
Stripe
9%
Deel
8%
Revolut
8%
Waymo
6%
バイトダンス
6%
Anysphere（カーソル）
4%
Brex
1%
$6,373,036 Vol.
スペースX
$626,818 Vol.
98%
OpenAI
$268,650 Vol.
76%
Anthropic
$264,105 Vol.
74%
Discord
$452,909 Vol.
58%
リモート
$54,642 Vol.
22%
Databricks
$470,683 Vol.
21%
WHOOP
$293 Vol.
18%
リプリング
$117,739 Vol.
17%
SHEIN
$78,516 Vol.
16%
Mistral AI
$149,095 Vol.
16%
Applied Intuition
$197,220 Vol.
15%
フレディマック
$245,224 Vol.
15%
リップル・ラボ
$146,030 Vol.
14%
ファニーメイ
$162,039 Vol.
13%
Epic Games
$74,616 Vol.
12%
Glean
$45,143 Vol.
12%
Ledger
$510,766 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$144,123 Vol.
11%
Anduril
$352,372 Vol.
11%
Celonis
$207,968 Vol.
10%
Anduril Industries
$33,784 Vol.
10%
Canva
$36,958 Vol.
9%
Vanta
$130,474 Vol.
9%
Stripe
$251,889 Vol.
9%
Deel
$124,478 Vol.
8%
Revolut
$57,147 Vol.
8%
Waymo
$52,353 Vol.
6%
バイトダンス
$12,030 Vol.
6%
Anysphere（カーソル）
$97,876 Vol.
4%
Brex
$218,003 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing and roadshow preparations have anchored strong trader consensus for its 2026 debut, while OpenAI and Anthropic face more contested timelines amid ongoing banker discussions and pre-IPO funding rounds targeting valuations near or above $850–900 billion. Recent revenue shortfalls at OpenAI and its ongoing legal matters with Elon Musk introduce uncertainty, contrasting with Anthropic's reported path toward an October or Q4 listing and first profitable quarter. Databricks and Stripe show lower implied probabilities as they prioritize private flexibility over immediate liquidity needs. Key near-term catalysts include additional SEC filings, earnings updates, and broader market conditions that could accelerate or delay multiple AI and tech listings before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$6,373,036終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing and roadshow preparations have anchored strong trader consensus for its 2026 debut, while OpenAI and Anthropic face more contested timelines amid ongoing banker discussions and pre-IPO funding rounds targeting valuations near or above $850–900 billion. Recent revenue shortfalls at OpenAI and its ongoing legal matters with Elon Musk introduce uncertainty, contrasting with Anthropic's reported path toward an October or Q4 listing and first profitable quarter. Databricks and Stripe show lower implied probabilities as they prioritize private flexibility over immediate liquidity needs. Key near-term catalysts include additional SEC filings, earnings updates, and broader market conditions that could accelerate or delay multiple AI and tech listings before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,373,036終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing and roadshow preparations have anchored strong trader consensus for its 2026 debut, while OpenAI and Anthropic face more contested timelines amid ongoing banker discussions and pre-IPO funding rounds targeting valuations near or above $850–900 billion. Recent revenue shortfalls at OpenAI and its ongoing legal matters with Elon Musk introduce uncertainty, contrasting with Anthropic's reported path toward an October or Q4 listing and first profitable quarter. Databricks and Stripe show lower implied probabilities as they prioritize private flexibility over immediate liquidity needs. Key near-term catalysts include additional SEC filings, earnings updates, and broader market conditions that could accelerate or delay multiple AI and tech listings before the 2027 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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