Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems (92% implied probability) and SpaceX (90%) for IPOs before year-end, driven by Cerebras' March 3 registration statement filing and active roadshow with Morgan Stanley targeting a Q2 debut to raise $2 billion amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI inference chips as a Nvidia alternative. SpaceX odds surged on late-March reports of an imminent S-1 filing for a mid-2026 listing potentially raising $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive growth. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (46%) reflect their fresh mega-fundings—OpenAI's $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation yesterday—reducing near-term public listing urgency despite competitive AI pressures. Watch Q2 roadshows and SEC reviews amid volatile markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$5,269,968 Vol.
2026/12/31
Cerebras
91%
スペースX
91%
Discord
60%
WHOOP
50%
Deel
38%
Databricks
42%
Anthropic
38%
Ledger
38%
OpenAI
36%
Canva
31%
リモート
31%
Celonis
29%
Anduril Industries
25%
SHEIN
25%
Epic Games
24%
リップル・ラボ
24%
バイトダンス
23%
Ramp
22%
フレディマック
22%
Waymo
16%
Applied Intuition
21%
Vanta
20%
リプリング
19%
Anysphere（カーソル）
18%
Anduril
18%
Mistral AI
17%
Revolut
24%
ファニーメイ
14%
Glean
13%
Stripe
13%
Brex
7%
$5,269,968 Vol.
Cerebras
$277,182 Vol.
91%
スペースX
$448,997 Vol.
91%
Discord
$423,829 Vol.
60%
WHOOP
$0 Vol.
50%
Deel
$116,794 Vol.
38%
Databricks
$445,720 Vol.
42%
Anthropic
$163,912 Vol.
38%
Ledger
$474,492 Vol.
38%
OpenAI
$190,466 Vol.
36%
Canva
$20,048 Vol.
31%
リモート
$51,111 Vol.
31%
Celonis
$194,496 Vol.
29%
Anduril Industries
$17,853 Vol.
25%
SHEIN
$59,723 Vol.
25%
Epic Games
$65,924 Vol.
24%
リップル・ラボ
$130,315 Vol.
24%
バイトダンス
$1,532 Vol.
23%
Ramp
$136,101 Vol.
22%
フレディマック
$223,811 Vol.
22%
Waymo
$22,527 Vol.
16%
Applied Intuition
$175,314 Vol.
21%
Vanta
$109,119 Vol.
20%
リプリング
$94,298 Vol.
19%
Anysphere（カーソル）
$86,640 Vol.
18%
Anduril
$316,826 Vol.
18%
Mistral AI
$131,514 Vol.
17%
Revolut
$35,314 Vol.
24%
ファニーメイ
$131,360 Vol.
14%
Glean
$42,642 Vol.
13%
Stripe
$224,076 Vol.
13%
Brex
$97,368 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems (92% implied probability) and SpaceX (90%) for IPOs before year-end, driven by Cerebras' March 3 registration statement filing and active roadshow with Morgan Stanley targeting a Q2 debut to raise $2 billion amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI inference chips as a Nvidia alternative. SpaceX odds surged on late-March reports of an imminent S-1 filing for a mid-2026 listing potentially raising $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive growth. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (46%) reflect their fresh mega-fundings—OpenAI's $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation yesterday—reducing near-term public listing urgency despite competitive AI pressures. Watch Q2 roadshows and SEC reviews amid volatile markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$5,269,968終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems (92% implied probability) and SpaceX (90%) for IPOs before year-end, driven by Cerebras' March 3 registration statement filing and active roadshow with Morgan Stanley targeting a Q2 debut to raise $2 billion amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI inference chips as a Nvidia alternative. SpaceX odds surged on late-March reports of an imminent S-1 filing for a mid-2026 listing potentially raising $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive growth. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (46%) reflect their fresh mega-fundings—OpenAI's $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation yesterday—reducing near-term public listing urgency despite competitive AI pressures. Watch Q2 roadshows and SEC reviews amid volatile markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,269,968終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Cerebras Systems (92% implied probability) and SpaceX (90%) for IPOs before year-end, driven by Cerebras' March 3 registration statement filing and active roadshow with Morgan Stanley targeting a Q2 debut to raise $2 billion amid surging demand for its wafer-scale AI inference chips as a Nvidia alternative. SpaceX odds surged on late-March reports of an imminent S-1 filing for a mid-2026 listing potentially raising $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive growth. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (46%) reflect their fresh mega-fundings—OpenAI's $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation yesterday—reducing near-term public listing urgency despite competitive AI pressures. Watch Q2 roadshows and SEC reviews amid volatile markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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