Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 94% implied probability to SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by Elon Musk's confirmed H2 timeline linked to Starship test milestones and plans for a $30 billion raise amid surging space economy demand. Cerebras follows at 90%, fueled by Q2 S-1 filing preparations to tap AI chip shortages for hyperscalers like hyperscalers. OpenAI surged to 39% yesterday after SoftBank's $40 billion loan announcement tied to a 2026 listing, while Anthropic lingers at 39% on banker discussions for a Q4 debut post-Claude large language model upgrades. Q1's sluggish tech IPO pace, including Brex's Capital One acquisition, caps fintech odds like Stripe at 14%; upcoming Q2 filings and macro stability could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$5,047,682 Vol.

Cerebras
92%

スペースX
92%

Discord
64%

Ledger
55%

Ramp
51%

Anthropic
41%

OpenAI
39%

Databricks
39%

リモート
37%

Celonis
34%

Deel
38%

SHEIN
32%

Applied Intuition
29%

Vanta
25%

Epic Games
28%

Canva
24%

フレディマック
24%

Anduril Industries
23%

Anduril
20%

リップル・ラボ
19%

Anysphere(カーソル)
18%

Mistral AI
18%

Revolut
18%

Waymo
16%

リプリング
16%

Glean
15%

Brex
13%

Stripe
13%

バイトダンス
15%

ファニーメイ
11%
$5,047,682 Vol.

Cerebras
92%

スペースX
92%

Discord
64%

Ledger
55%

Ramp
51%

Anthropic
41%

OpenAI
39%

Databricks
39%

リモート
37%

Celonis
34%

Deel
38%

SHEIN
32%

Applied Intuition
29%

Vanta
25%

Epic Games
28%

Canva
24%

フレディマック
24%

Anduril Industries
23%

Anduril
20%

リップル・ラボ
19%

Anysphere(カーソル)
18%

Mistral AI
18%

Revolut
18%

Waymo
16%

リプリング
16%

Glean
15%

Brex
13%

Stripe
13%

バイトダンス
15%

ファニーメイ
11%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 94% implied probability to SpaceX completing an IPO before year-end 2026, propelled by Elon Musk's confirmed H2 timeline linked to Starship test milestones and plans for a $30 billion raise amid surging space economy demand. Cerebras follows at 90%, fueled by Q2 S-1 filing preparations to tap AI chip shortages for hyperscalers like hyperscalers. OpenAI surged to 39% yesterday after SoftBank's $40 billion loan announcement tied to a 2026 listing, while Anthropic lingers at 39% on banker discussions for a Q4 debut post-Claude large language model upgrades. Q1's sluggish tech IPO pace, including Brex's Capital One acquisition, caps fintech odds like Stripe at 14%; upcoming Q2 filings and macro stability could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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