Environment Canada forecasts a high of 16°C in Toronto on March 30 under mainly sunny skies early, transitioning to increasing cloudiness with southwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, driving the 95.9% market-implied probability for 15°C or higher as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance well above the late-March climatological norm of 7°C. Overnight updates reflect a building high-pressure ridge enabling mild air advection and strong daytime insolation, following yesterday's observed high near 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. While forecast model agreement is robust, realistic challenges include premature thickening clouds reducing solar heating or an early cold front capping temperatures below 15°C, though such shifts remain low-probability per current data; hourly airport observations will track peak conditions toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on March 30?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 30?
15°C or higher 96.5%
13°C 2.7%
14°C 2.3%
10°C <1%
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
97%
15°C or higher 96.5%
13°C 2.7%
14°C 2.3%
10°C <1%
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada forecasts a high of 16°C in Toronto on March 30 under mainly sunny skies early, transitioning to increasing cloudiness with southwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, driving the 95.9% market-implied probability for 15°C or higher as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance well above the late-March climatological norm of 7°C. Overnight updates reflect a building high-pressure ridge enabling mild air advection and strong daytime insolation, following yesterday's observed high near 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. While forecast model agreement is robust, realistic challenges include premature thickening clouds reducing solar heating or an early cold front capping temperatures below 15°C, though such shifts remain low-probability per current data; hourly airport observations will track peak conditions toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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