Trader sentiment for Tokyo's highest temperature on March 27 hinges on Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts projecting 18-19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, elevating implied odds for mid-teens outcomes to 16.5% each while favoring 21°C or higher at 25.5% due to possible Foehn wind enhancement from Pacific slopes. Historical March 27 highs average 14.5°C, but this year's early cherry blossom bloom signals a +4°C anomaly driven by elevated sea surface temperatures and urban heat island effects. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge by 2-4°C near-term, explaining even distribution across 15-20°C; final JMA updates today could shift consensus as solar insolation maximizes under clear skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月27日の東京の最高気温は?
3月27日の東京の最高気温は?
17°C 20%
15℃ 17%
16℃ 17%
18℃ 17%
11℃以下
8%
12℃
8%
13℃
14%
14℃
15%
15℃
17%
16℃
17%
17°C
20%
18℃
17%
19℃
17%
20°C
17%
21℃以上
14%
17°C 20%
15℃ 17%
16℃ 17%
18℃ 17%
11℃以下
8%
12℃
8%
13℃
14%
14℃
15%
15℃
17%
16℃
17%
17°C
20%
18℃
17%
19℃
17%
20°C
17%
21℃以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tokyo's highest temperature on March 27 hinges on Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts projecting 18-19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, elevating implied odds for mid-teens outcomes to 16.5% each while favoring 21°C or higher at 25.5% due to possible Foehn wind enhancement from Pacific slopes. Historical March 27 highs average 14.5°C, but this year's early cherry blossom bloom signals a +4°C anomaly driven by elevated sea surface temperatures and urban heat island effects. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge by 2-4°C near-term, explaining even distribution across 15-20°C; final JMA updates today could shift consensus as solar insolation maximizes under clear skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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