Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 Vol.
$70,604 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 Vol.
$70,604 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問