Current Israel Meteorological Service observations and long-range global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, imply trader consensus for a Tel Aviv high temperature near 18°C on April 7, driven by a sharp recent cooldown—yesterday's 25°C peak dropped to overnight lows of 17°C amid hazy conditions and high-level clouds. Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C reflect model spread on key differentiators: extent of morning cloud break for insolation, Mediterranean sea breeze strength moderating peaks, and 70%+ precipitation risk from a weak upper-air trough linked to a lingering spring polar vortex core. Historical early-April averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current patterns favor milder outcomes; monitor IMS updates and 12z runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 7?
17°C 21%
18°C 18%
19°C 18%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
16%
17°C
21%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
15%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
7%
17°C 21%
18°C 18%
19°C 18%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
14°C or below
$178 Vol.
1%
15°C
$334 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$11 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$39 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C or higher
$2 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Israel Meteorological Service observations and long-range global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, imply trader consensus for a Tel Aviv high temperature near 18°C on April 7, driven by a sharp recent cooldown—yesterday's 25°C peak dropped to overnight lows of 17°C amid hazy conditions and high-level clouds. Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C reflect model spread on key differentiators: extent of morning cloud break for insolation, Mediterranean sea breeze strength moderating peaks, and 70%+ precipitation risk from a weak upper-air trough linked to a lingering spring polar vortex core. Historical early-April averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current patterns favor milder outcomes; monitor IMS updates and 12z runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$564終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Israel Meteorological Service observations and long-range global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, imply trader consensus for a Tel Aviv high temperature near 18°C on April 7, driven by a sharp recent cooldown—yesterday's 25°C peak dropped to overnight lows of 17°C amid hazy conditions and high-level clouds. Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C reflect model spread on key differentiators: extent of morning cloud break for insolation, Mediterranean sea breeze strength moderating peaks, and 70%+ precipitation risk from a weak upper-air trough linked to a lingering spring polar vortex core. Historical early-April averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current patterns favor milder outcomes; monitor IMS updates and 12z runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$564終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Israel Meteorological Service observations and long-range global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, imply trader consensus for a Tel Aviv high temperature near 18°C on April 7, driven by a sharp recent cooldown—yesterday's 25°C peak dropped to overnight lows of 17°C amid hazy conditions and high-level clouds. Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C reflect model spread on key differentiators: extent of morning cloud break for insolation, Mediterranean sea breeze strength moderating peaks, and 70%+ precipitation risk from a weak upper-air trough linked to a lingering spring polar vortex core. Historical early-April averages near 23°C provide baseline context, but current patterns favor milder outcomes; monitor IMS updates and 12z runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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