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3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？

Market icon

3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

14°C 28%

15°C 24%

13℃ 18%

16℃ 12%

Polymarket

$101,315 Vol.

14°C 28%

15°C 24%

13℃ 18%

16℃ 12%

Polymarket

$101,315 Vol.

7℃以下

$11,115 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$13,026 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$8,822 Vol.

1%

10°C

$12,739 Vol.

1%

11°C

$8,484 Vol.

2%

12℃

$8,249 Vol.

9%

13℃

$7,920 Vol.

18%

14°C

$5,272 Vol.

28%

15°C

$4,343 Vol.

24%

16℃

$5,158 Vol.

12%

17°C以上

$16,544 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 14°C (28.5% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 15°C (21%) and 13°C (19%), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models converging on mild spring conditions with partial cloudiness limiting peak heating. Recent sunny days (highs of 15–16°C on March 25–28) initially boosted warmer odds, but updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours introduced moderating northerly winds and scattered clouds, ruling out 17°C+ (now 8.5%) and tightening the spread around 13–15°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud timing—early clearing could push toward 15°C via enhanced solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 13°C—against late-March climatological averages near 12–13°C. KMA hourly updates through March 28 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.

Trader consensus favors 14°C (28.5% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 15°C (21%) and 13°C (19%), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models converging on mild spring conditions with partial cloudiness limiting peak heating. Recent sunny days (highs of 15–16°C on March 25–28) initially boosted warmer odds, but updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours introduced moderating northerly winds and scattered clouds, ruling out 17°C+ (now 8.5%) and tightening the spread around 13–15°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud timing—early clearing could push toward 15°C via enhanced solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 13°C—against late-March climatological averages near 12–13°C. KMA hourly updates through March 28 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 14°C (28.5% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 15°C (21%) and 13°C (19%), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models converging on mild spring conditions with partial cloudiness limiting peak heating. Recent sunny days (highs of 15–16°C on March 25–28) initially boosted warmer odds, but updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours introduced moderating northerly winds and scattered clouds, ruling out 17°C+ (now 8.5%) and tightening the spread around 13–15°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud timing—early clearing could push toward 15°C via enhanced solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 13°C—against late-March climatological averages near 12–13°C. KMA hourly updates through March 28 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.

Trader consensus favors 14°C (28.5% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, closely trailed by 15°C (21%) and 13°C (19%), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast models converging on mild spring conditions with partial cloudiness limiting peak heating. Recent sunny days (highs of 15–16°C on March 25–28) initially boosted warmer odds, but updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours introduced moderating northerly winds and scattered clouds, ruling out 17°C+ (now 8.5%) and tightening the spread around 13–15°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud timing—early clearing could push toward 15°C via enhanced solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 13°C—against late-March climatological averages near 12–13°C. KMA hourly updates through March 28 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「14°C」で28%、次いで「15°C」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？」は$101.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「14°C」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「15°C」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月29日のソウルの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。