Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high temperature in São Paulo at 61% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C at 27%, driven by the latest forecasts from INMET, Climatempo, and the city's Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas projecting peaks of 29–30°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge. Clear skies and light winds since yesterday have enabled strong boundary-layer heating from solar insolation, with early morning observations around 19°C and 80% humidity at official stations like São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport setting up efficient afternoon warming. This aligns with late-March climatological averages near 28°C, though urban heat islands could nudge toward 30°C; model ensembles show minor spread, with resolution hinging on peak readings before evening. Updated hourly data from NOAA and INMET through late afternoon may refine these odds amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
29°C 66%
30°C 29%
31°C 5%
32°C 1.3%
$66,022 Vol.
$66,022 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
64%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 66%
30°C 29%
31°C 5%
32°C 1.3%
$66,022 Vol.
$66,022 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
64%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high temperature in São Paulo at 61% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C at 27%, driven by the latest forecasts from INMET, Climatempo, and the city's Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas projecting peaks of 29–30°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge. Clear skies and light winds since yesterday have enabled strong boundary-layer heating from solar insolation, with early morning observations around 19°C and 80% humidity at official stations like São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport setting up efficient afternoon warming. This aligns with late-March climatological averages near 28°C, though urban heat islands could nudge toward 30°C; model ensembles show minor spread, with resolution hinging on peak readings before evening. Updated hourly data from NOAA and INMET through late afternoon may refine these odds amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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