Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of exactly 30°C in São Paulo on March 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC, which align with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C under clear skies and light winds. Historical March data shows average highs around 27-28°C, but current anticyclonic conditions and low humidity support this slightly elevated outlook, with official station measurements at sites like Mirante de Santana expected to confirm. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of hot northerly winds or model underestimation of solar heating, potentially pushing toward 31-32°C, though diurnal variability keeps higher extremes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月18日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
3月18日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
30℃ 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,218 Vol.
$23,218 Vol.
23°C以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
はい
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
30℃ 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,218 Vol.
$23,218 Vol.
23°C以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
はい
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 14, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of exactly 30°C in São Paulo on March 18, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC, which align with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C under clear skies and light winds. Historical March data shows average highs around 27-28°C, but current anticyclonic conditions and low humidity support this slightly elevated outlook, with official station measurements at sites like Mirante de Santana expected to confirm. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of hot northerly winds or model underestimation of solar heating, potentially pushing toward 31-32°C, though diurnal variability keeps higher extremes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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