Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight clustering of odds around 14-17°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 27, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% reflecting a mild southerly flow but tempered by Po Valley variability. Latest runs project peaks of 15-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, though a potential northerly shift could cap highs at 13-14°C, as seen in similar late-March setups with 2-4°C standard deviations historically. ARPA Lombardia's high-resolution data reinforces this spread, differentiating outcomes via cloud cover timing and low-level temperature advection; traders await 00Z updates for resolution clarity amid diurnal ranges of 8-10°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
18°C or higher 26%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
13°C 18%
8°C or below
8%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
16%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
26%
18°C or higher 26%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
13°C 18%
8°C or below
8%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
16%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight clustering of odds around 14-17°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 27, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% reflecting a mild southerly flow but tempered by Po Valley variability. Latest runs project peaks of 15-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, though a potential northerly shift could cap highs at 13-14°C, as seen in similar late-March setups with 2-4°C standard deviations historically. ARPA Lombardia's high-resolution data reinforces this spread, differentiating outcomes via cloud cover timing and low-level temperature advection; traders await 00Z updates for resolution clarity amid diurnal ranges of 8-10°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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