Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Milan's highest temperature on April 3 tightly clustered at 19–22°C (20–23.5% implied probabilities each), capturing the 3–4°C spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid typical early-spring uncertainty over the Po Valley. Mild highs around 18–21°C emerge from building high-pressure ridging over central Europe, fostering light southerly winds and above-average insolation following March's variable patterns in northern Italy, where historical April 3 peaks average 17°C (ranging 12–24°C). Differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing solar heating, potential northerly gusts cooling advection, or urban heat island amplification in Milan pushing toward 23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia's afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts as boundary layer dynamics clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
23°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
8%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
16%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
12%
20°C
22%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
19%
21°C 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 21%
23°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
$140 Vol.
8%
14°C
$135 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$5 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Milan's highest temperature on April 3 tightly clustered at 19–22°C (20–23.5% implied probabilities each), capturing the 3–4°C spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid typical early-spring uncertainty over the Po Valley. Mild highs around 18–21°C emerge from building high-pressure ridging over central Europe, fostering light southerly winds and above-average insolation following March's variable patterns in northern Italy, where historical April 3 peaks average 17°C (ranging 12–24°C). Differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing solar heating, potential northerly gusts cooling advection, or urban heat island amplification in Milan pushing toward 23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia's afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts as boundary layer dynamics clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
音量
$281終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Milan's highest temperature on April 3 tightly clustered at 19–22°C (20–23.5% implied probabilities each), capturing the 3–4°C spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid typical early-spring uncertainty over the Po Valley. Mild highs around 18–21°C emerge from building high-pressure ridging over central Europe, fostering light southerly winds and above-average insolation following March's variable patterns in northern Italy, where historical April 3 peaks average 17°C (ranging 12–24°C). Differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing solar heating, potential northerly gusts cooling advection, or urban heat island amplification in Milan pushing toward 23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia's afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts as boundary layer dynamics clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$281終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Milan's highest temperature on April 3 tightly clustered at 19–22°C (20–23.5% implied probabilities each), capturing the 3–4°C spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid typical early-spring uncertainty over the Po Valley. Mild highs around 18–21°C emerge from building high-pressure ridging over central Europe, fostering light southerly winds and above-average insolation following March's variable patterns in northern Italy, where historical April 3 peaks average 17°C (ranging 12–24°C). Differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing solar heating, potential northerly gusts cooling advection, or urban heat island amplification in Milan pushing toward 23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia's afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh for resolution shifts as boundary layer dynamics clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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