India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 33°C for Lucknow on March 28 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear conditions, driving the market-implied 99.8% probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns tightly with this authoritative projection from numerical weather prediction models. Yesterday's observed high of 30.6°C at Lucknow Airport, 4.6°C below normal, reflects recent cooler trends amid dry weather, with models anticipating a moderate rise due to increased solar insolation and light westerly winds around 11 km/h. This positioning reflects strong model agreement and historical late-March averages near 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent clear skies boosting peak heating to 34°C or minor cloud cover capping it below, with final observations from IMD stations resolving the market by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$57,913 Vol.
$57,913 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$57,913 Vol.
$57,913 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 33°C for Lucknow on March 28 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear conditions, driving the market-implied 99.8% probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns tightly with this authoritative projection from numerical weather prediction models. Yesterday's observed high of 30.6°C at Lucknow Airport, 4.6°C below normal, reflects recent cooler trends amid dry weather, with models anticipating a moderate rise due to increased solar insolation and light westerly winds around 11 km/h. This positioning reflects strong model agreement and historical late-March averages near 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent clear skies boosting peak heating to 34°C or minor cloud cover capping it below, with final observations from IMD stations resolving the market by day's end.
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