Met Office forecasts indicate sunny conditions for London on April 7, with highs clustering around 18-20°C under building high pressure following Storm Dave's clearance, driving trader sentiment toward these outcomes at 32%, 27.5%, and 17.5% implied probabilities respectively. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports warm sunshine after a chilly start with patchy frost, but differentiates the leaders through subtle variations: 18°C reflects potential thin high cloud muting peak insolation, 19°C aligns with baseline clear-sky heating, and 20°C accounts for urban heat island amplification at key stations like Heathrow. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, marking this as anomalously mild; new model runs overnight and hourly observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月7日のロンドンの最高気温は?
4月7日のロンドンの最高気温は?
18°C 33%
19℃ 27%
20℃ 17%
17°C 15.5%
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
16℃以下
7%
17°C
16%
18°C
33%
19℃
27%
20℃
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
18°C 33%
19℃ 27%
20℃ 17%
17°C 15.5%
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
16℃以下
7%
17°C
16%
18°C
33%
19℃
27%
20℃
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office forecasts indicate sunny conditions for London on April 7, with highs clustering around 18-20°C under building high pressure following Storm Dave's clearance, driving trader sentiment toward these outcomes at 32%, 27.5%, and 17.5% implied probabilities respectively. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports warm sunshine after a chilly start with patchy frost, but differentiates the leaders through subtle variations: 18°C reflects potential thin high cloud muting peak insolation, 19°C aligns with baseline clear-sky heating, and 20°C accounts for urban heat island amplification at key stations like Heathrow. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, marking this as anomalously mild; new model runs overnight and hourly observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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