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3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?

Market icon

3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?

82〜83°F 48%

80~81°F 32%

84~85°F 8%

76〜77°F 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,436 Vol.

82〜83°F 48%

80~81°F 32%

84~85°F 8%

76〜77°F 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,436 Vol.

73°F以下

$1,693 Vol.

1%

74〜75°F

$1,114 Vol.

1%

76〜77°F

$1,114 Vol.

5%

78~79°F

$887 Vol.

4%

80~81°F

$957 Vol.

32%

82〜83°F

$1,047 Vol.

48%

84~85°F

$888 Vol.

8%

86〜87°F

$602 Vol.

4%

88~89°F

$1,968 Vol.

1%

90~91°F

$1,395 Vol.

<1%

92°F以上

$1,773 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「82〜83°F」で48%、次いで「80~81°F」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」は$13.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「82〜83°F」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「80~81°F」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。