Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
82〜83°F 48%
80~81°F 32%
84~85°F 8%
76〜77°F 4.7%
$13,436 Vol.
$13,436 Vol.
73°F以下
1%
74〜75°F
1%
76〜77°F
5%
78~79°F
4%
80~81°F
32%
82〜83°F
48%
84~85°F
8%
86〜87°F
4%
88~89°F
1%
90~91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 48%
80~81°F 32%
84~85°F 8%
76〜77°F 4.7%
$13,436 Vol.
$13,436 Vol.
73°F以下
1%
74〜75°F
1%
76〜77°F
5%
78~79°F
4%
80~81°F
32%
82〜83°F
48%
84~85°F
8%
86〜87°F
4%
88~89°F
1%
90~91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82-83°F high in Houston at 48.5% implied probability for March 29, with 80-81°F close behind at 32.5%, despite the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a cooler 74°F under partly sunny skies and breezy northeast winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following Friday night's cold front. This front ushered in cooler mid-level air masses, capping daytime heating after a record-hot March streak where recent days topped 82°F, but traders appear to factor in potential diurnal recovery, urban heat island effects at key stations like Houston Hobby Airport, and lingering model spread from GFS and NAM runs showing highs in the low 80s before full stabilization. Expect refined odds from overnight forecast updates and morning meteorological observations resolving any lingering uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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