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3月26日の香港の最高気温は？

Market icon

3月26日の香港の最高気温は？

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

28°C以上 100.0%

18℃以下 <1%

19°C <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$251,521 Vol.

28°C以上 100.0%

18℃以下 <1%

19°C <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$251,521 Vol.

18℃以下

$25,727 Vol.

いいえ

19°C

$11,576 Vol.

いいえ

20°C

$13,016 Vol.

いいえ

21℃

$12,405 Vol.

いいえ

22°C

$17,063 Vol.

いいえ

23℃

$27,374 Vol.

いいえ

24°C

$23,922 Vol.

いいえ

25°C

$19,776 Vol.

いいえ

26℃

$23,435 Vol.

いいえ

27°C

$20,764 Vol.

いいえ

28°C以上

$56,464 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.

Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.

Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月26日の香港の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「28°C以上」で100%、次いで「18℃以下」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月26日の香港の最高気温は？」は$251.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月26日の香港の最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月26日の香港の最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「28°C以上」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「18℃以下」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月26日の香港の最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。