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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

62-63°F 28%

60-61°F 18%

64-65°F 17%

58-59°F 13%

Polymarket

$36,817 Vol.

62-63°F 28%

60-61°F 18%

64-65°F 17%

58-59°F 13%

Polymarket

$36,817 Vol.

53°F以下

$6,156 Vol.

<1%

54-55°F

$2,809 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$3,843 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$2,337 Vol.

13%

60-61°F

$2,206 Vol.

18%

62-63°F

$2,050 Vol.

28%

64-65°F

$2,586 Vol.

17%

66-67°F

$2,523 Vol.

9%

68-69°F

$2,834 Vol.

6%

70-71°F

$2,988 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$6,553 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 62°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under a developing upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence warming and enhanced insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F, despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern typically favoring cooler anomalies. Differentiating the closely matched leaders—62-63°F (30%), 60-61°F (21%), 64-65°F (17.5%)—are uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover, where clear skies could boost peaks to 64-65°F via stronger vertical mixing, while thin clouds might cap at 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating, with negligible precipitation risk.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 62°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under a developing upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence warming and enhanced insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F, despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern typically favoring cooler anomalies. Differentiating the closely matched leaders—62-63°F (30%), 60-61°F (21%), 64-65°F (17.5%)—are uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover, where clear skies could boost peaks to 64-65°F via stronger vertical mixing, while thin clouds might cap at 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating, with negligible precipitation risk.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 62°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under a developing upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence warming and enhanced insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F, despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern typically favoring cooler anomalies. Differentiating the closely matched leaders—62-63°F (30%), 60-61°F (21%), 64-65°F (17.5%)—are uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover, where clear skies could boost peaks to 64-65°F via stronger vertical mixing, while thin clouds might cap at 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating, with negligible precipitation risk.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 62°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under a developing upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence warming and enhanced insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F, despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern typically favoring cooler anomalies. Differentiating the closely matched leaders—62-63°F (30%), 60-61°F (21%), 64-65°F (17.5%)—are uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover, where clear skies could boost peaks to 64-65°F via stronger vertical mixing, while thin clouds might cap at 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating, with negligible precipitation risk.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「62-63°F」で28%、次いで「60-61°F」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?」は$36.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?」の現在のフロントランナーは「62-63°F」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「60-61°F」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。