Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 85°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid this market's resolution. This reading aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected upper 80s highs 24-48 hours prior under light southerly winds, ample sunshine, and persistent high-pressure ridging funneling warm Gulf air into Central Texas. March 2026's climatological anomaly—averages 7°F above the 77°F normal—provided favorable baseline conditions without notable cloud cover or frontal disruptions. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS quality control for sensor issues, though established ASOS stations at KAUS exhibit high reliability; final monthly climate summary expected soon will solidify records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$264,184 Vol.
$264,184 Vol.
2026/03/29
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$264,184 Vol.
$264,184 Vol.
2026/03/29
73°F or below
$60,753 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$62,855 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$3,953 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,912 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$18,195 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$8,752 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$28,049 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$56,966 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,223 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$9,400 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$4,127 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 85°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid this market's resolution. This reading aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected upper 80s highs 24-48 hours prior under light southerly winds, ample sunshine, and persistent high-pressure ridging funneling warm Gulf air into Central Texas. March 2026's climatological anomaly—averages 7°F above the 77°F normal—provided favorable baseline conditions without notable cloud cover or frontal disruptions. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS quality control for sensor issues, though established ASOS stations at KAUS exhibit high reliability; final monthly climate summary expected soon will solidify records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
音量
$264,184終了日
2026/03/29マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 85°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid this market's resolution. This reading aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected upper 80s highs 24-48 hours prior under light southerly winds, ample sunshine, and persistent high-pressure ridging funneling warm Gulf air into Central Texas. March 2026's climatological anomaly—averages 7°F above the 77°F normal—provided favorable baseline conditions without notable cloud cover or frontal disruptions. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS quality control for sensor issues, though established ASOS stations at KAUS exhibit high reliability; final monthly climate summary expected soon will solidify records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$264,184終了日
2026/03/29マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 85°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome amid this market's resolution. This reading aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected upper 80s highs 24-48 hours prior under light southerly winds, ample sunshine, and persistent high-pressure ridging funneling warm Gulf air into Central Texas. March 2026's climatological anomaly—averages 7°F above the 77°F normal—provided favorable baseline conditions without notable cloud cover or frontal disruptions. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS quality control for sensor issues, though established ASOS stations at KAUS exhibit high reliability; final monthly climate summary expected soon will solidify records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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