Florida's 2026 special U.S. Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed after Marco Rubio's resignation, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman. Moody holds an established statewide profile from her prior role as attorney general and benefits from Florida's consistent Republican performance in federal contests, including Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024. Recent University of North Florida polling shows her leading both Democratic contenders by 8-10 points in general-election matchups, while forecasts rate the seat Likely Republican. The Democratic primary outcome and any subsequent visibility gains could modestly affect positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, though the state's partisan lean and historical patterns sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
共和党
$36,652 Vol.
90%
民主党
$27,605 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special U.S. Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed after Marco Rubio's resignation, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman. Moody holds an established statewide profile from her prior role as attorney general and benefits from Florida's consistent Republican performance in federal contests, including Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024. Recent University of North Florida polling shows her leading both Democratic contenders by 8-10 points in general-election matchups, while forecasts rate the seat Likely Republican. The Democratic primary outcome and any subsequent visibility gains could modestly affect positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, though the state's partisan lean and historical patterns sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
音量
$64,257マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special U.S. Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed after Marco Rubio's resignation, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman. Moody holds an established statewide profile from her prior role as attorney general and benefits from Florida's consistent Republican performance in federal contests, including Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024. Recent University of North Florida polling shows her leading both Democratic contenders by 8-10 points in general-election matchups, while forecasts rate the seat Likely Republican. The Democratic primary outcome and any subsequent visibility gains could modestly affect positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, though the state's partisan lean and historical patterns sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$64,257マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 special U.S. Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed after Marco Rubio's resignation, against the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary between Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman. Moody holds an established statewide profile from her prior role as attorney general and benefits from Florida's consistent Republican performance in federal contests, including Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024. Recent University of North Florida polling shows her leading both Democratic contenders by 8-10 points in general-election matchups, while forecasts rate the seat Likely Republican. The Democratic primary outcome and any subsequent visibility gains could modestly affect positioning ahead of the November 3 general election, though the state's partisan lean and historical patterns sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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