South Carolina’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationally and delivering consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The current Republican incumbent won the 2024 general election with over 70 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 9 primaries. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of viable Democratic challengers capable of narrowing the structural gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s long-standing voting patterns before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,851 Vol.
91%
民主党
$906 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationally and delivering consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The current Republican incumbent won the 2024 general election with over 70 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 9 primaries. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of viable Democratic challengers capable of narrowing the structural gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s long-standing voting patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,757終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationally and delivering consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The current Republican incumbent won the 2024 general election with over 70 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 9 primaries. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of viable Democratic challengers capable of narrowing the structural gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s long-standing voting patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,757終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationally and delivering consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The current Republican incumbent won the 2024 general election with over 70 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 9 primaries. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of viable Democratic challengers capable of narrowing the structural gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s long-standing voting patterns before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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