Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the party nomination in the May 5 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 6th congressional district, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced as the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Rulli’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 33 points, reflecting the district’s rural Appalachian and Mahoning Valley composition that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,339 Vol.
$22,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
7%
$22,339 Vol.
$22,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,514 Vol.
87%
民主党
$10,826 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the party nomination in the May 5 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 6th congressional district, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced as the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Rulli’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 33 points, reflecting the district’s rural Appalachian and Mahoning Valley composition that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the party nomination in the May 5 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 6th congressional district, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced as the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Rulli’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 33 points, reflecting the district’s rural Appalachian and Mahoning Valley composition that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the party nomination in the May 5 primary with over 76 percent of the vote in Ohio’s 6th congressional district, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced as the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Rulli’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 33 points, reflecting the district’s rural Appalachian and Mahoning Valley composition that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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