Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76 percent of the vote in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 6th Congressional District, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 to R+17 and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Rulli previously won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected developments could theoretically alter the race, the combination of partisan lean, incumbency, and recent primary results supports the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,818 Vol.
$22,818 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$22,818 Vol.
$22,818 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,823 Vol.
91%
民主党
$10,995 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76 percent of the vote in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 6th Congressional District, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 to R+17 and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Rulli previously won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected developments could theoretically alter the race, the combination of partisan lean, incumbency, and recent primary results supports the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76 percent of the vote in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 6th Congressional District, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 to R+17 and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Rulli previously won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected developments could theoretically alter the race, the combination of partisan lean, incumbency, and recent primary results supports the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76 percent of the vote in the May 5 primary for Ohio's 6th Congressional District, facing Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 to R+17 and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Rulli previously won the seat in 2024 by a wide margin. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected developments could theoretically alter the race, the combination of partisan lean, incumbency, and recent primary results supports the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問