Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin faces no primary opposition in California’s 49th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while two Republicans compete to advance to the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Levin’s prior wins, including a narrow 2024 reelection. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected primary dynamics that weaken the Democratic nominee, or late-breaking developments within the district’s northern San Diego County and coastal areas that alter turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,107 Vol.
94%
共和党
$789 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin faces no primary opposition in California’s 49th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while two Republicans compete to advance to the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Levin’s prior wins, including a narrow 2024 reelection. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected primary dynamics that weaken the Democratic nominee, or late-breaking developments within the district’s northern San Diego County and coastal areas that alter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,896終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin faces no primary opposition in California’s 49th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while two Republicans compete to advance to the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Levin’s prior wins, including a narrow 2024 reelection. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected primary dynamics that weaken the Democratic nominee, or late-breaking developments within the district’s northern San Diego County and coastal areas that alter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,896終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin faces no primary opposition in California’s 49th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while two Republicans compete to advance to the November general election. The district’s partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Levin’s prior wins, including a narrow 2024 reelection. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, unexpected primary dynamics that weaken the Democratic nominee, or late-breaking developments within the district’s northern San Diego County and coastal areas that alter turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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