Incumbent Rep. Mike Levin's commanding position in California's 49th Congressional District drives the 93% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by unanimous Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district shifted left under mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, yielding a D+7 partisan index and hypothetical Harris +12 presidential margin. In the June 2 top-two primary, Levin faces token Republican challengers Armen Kurdian and Star Parker, who trail massively in fundraising—Levin boasts $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus their combined under $150,000. No recent polls or scandals alter this dynamic, though a stunning primary upset, Levin scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$577 Vol.
93%
共和党
$458 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Levin's commanding position in California's 49th Congressional District drives the 93% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by unanimous Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district shifted left under mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, yielding a D+7 partisan index and hypothetical Harris +12 presidential margin. In the June 2 top-two primary, Levin faces token Republican challengers Armen Kurdian and Star Parker, who trail massively in fundraising—Levin boasts $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus their combined under $150,000. No recent polls or scandals alter this dynamic, though a stunning primary upset, Levin scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$1,034終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Levin's commanding position in California's 49th Congressional District drives the 93% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by unanimous Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district shifted left under mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, yielding a D+7 partisan index and hypothetical Harris +12 presidential margin. In the June 2 top-two primary, Levin faces token Republican challengers Armen Kurdian and Star Parker, who trail massively in fundraising—Levin boasts $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus their combined under $150,000. No recent polls or scandals alter this dynamic, though a stunning primary upset, Levin scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,034終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Levin's commanding position in California's 49th Congressional District drives the 93% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by unanimous Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district shifted left under mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, yielding a D+7 partisan index and hypothetical Harris +12 presidential margin. In the June 2 top-two primary, Levin faces token Republican challengers Armen Kurdian and Star Parker, who trail massively in fundraising—Levin boasts $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus their combined under $150,000. No recent polls or scandals alter this dynamic, though a stunning primary upset, Levin scandal, or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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